China upped the ante in its trade war with the U.S. last week when it imposed export controls on "rare earth" minerals, key elements in the production of technology for your kitchen, car, high-tech military weapons and more. With China's near monopoly on the market, these blocks could "cause shutdowns in automotive production," said the Financial Times. They also "threaten Washington's military primacy," said Chatham House, a British think tank.
What did the commentators say? "Everything you can switch on or off likely runs" on the minerals, said Thomas Kruemmer, the director of Ginger International Trade and Investment, to BBC News. One of them, neodymium, is used in "loudspeakers, computer hard drives, EV motors and jet engines." These minerals are "abundant" in nature, said the BBC, but are "very hazardous to extract."
They are critical in the production of the F-35 fighter, as well as "robotics, drones, electric vehicles and touch screens." So the trade war could give Beijing a "crucial strategic advantage" in competition for "military and technological supremacy."
President Donald Trump may think he will "find alternative sources of rare earths," said Nicholas Kristof at The New York Times. But America relies on China for 72% of its supply. And rare earths are "polluting to mine and process," which is why it can take "nearly three decades to get permission to open and operate a rare-earth mine in America." Trump's trade war "seems destined to fracture our alliances and magnify American weakness."
Some worry the trade war could lead to a shooting war. Nearly a century ago, trade sanctions "cut off Japan from vital resources" like steel, oil and rubber, said James Stavridis, a retired Navy admiral, at Bloomberg.
Pearl Harbor was the culmination of "economic disputes and provocative steps." And Beijing's decision to block rare earth exports could be a new "indicator of impending conflict."
What next? The challenges are immediate, while solutions are off in the future. There's a single American mine for rare earth minerals, and its executives are fielding phone calls from "anxious companies" following China's announcement, said The Associated Press.
The effects of the export block have "been immediate," said Matt Sloustcher, a spokesperson for MP Materials. Existing stockpiles should keep American manufacturers operating for now, said the AP, but "shortages may emerge later this year." |