Why can't France hold on to its prime ministers?

Spiralling debt, ageing population and cultural refusal to accept budget cuts – despite high welfare spending – have been turbocharged by Emmanuel Macron

France's Prime Minister Francois Bayrou arrives to deliver his general policy statement
François Bayrou resigned after losing a no-confidence vote, leaving the president searching for a fifth PM in less than two years
(Image credit: Bertrand Guay / AFP / Getty Images)

France's wartime president Charles de Gaulle once asked: "How can anyone govern a country with 246 varieties of cheese?"

"More than 60 years on," said CNN, "the answer appears to be no one."

After losing a vote of no confidence, François Bayrou was forced to resign as prime minister after nine months. That leaves President Emmanuel Macron "weaker than ever", searching for his fifth prime minister in less than two years and facing growing calls for his own resignation.

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What did the commentators say?

"With yet another government on the brink, France has, it seems, become ungovernable," said CNN.

Bayrou called the vote to try to push through his €44 billion savings plan – although budget reform "was precisely what claimed the scalp of his predecessor", Michel Barnier, after only three months as prime minister. Whoever replaces Bayrou must face the "much steeper mountain of getting the French to accept sweeping spending cuts".

But the instability "can be traced back" to Macron. He "blew up" the political order of the Fifth Republic, founded by De Gaulle in 1958 to end "chronic instability". In 2017, Macron became the first president elected without the backing of either mainstream party.

After he was re-elected in 2022, he lost his majority as voters "flocked to the extremes". Then came his "dramatic decision" to call a snap election in 2024, "piqued" by the success of the far-right National Rally. The left won most seats but fell short of a majority, and Macron "refused to accept their choice of prime minister". Unlike Germany or Italy, France "has no tradition of coalition-building".

But this long predates Macron, said Agence France-Presse. France's public debt has "steadily risen for decades", fuelled by "chronic budget deficits" and intensified by financial crises and the pandemic. This year it climbed to about 114% of annual GDP, the third highest in the eurozone after Italy and Greece, almost double the EU's limit of 60%. Next year, paying interest on that will be "the government's main spending item". Some have "raised the spectre of a scenario reminiscent of the Greek debt crisis".

France is "hardly on a par with Greece", said The New York Times. It is a "too-big-to-fail economy" and "not about to go bankrupt". That said, "things are bad", said Bruno Cavalier, chief economist at Oddo bank in Paris. There is a "collective denial of what is at stake". Government spending has long been the highest in Europe and "much of it goes towards financing a generous social welfare system".

Yet somehow "there's not enough money for anyone", said Alexander Hurst in The Guardian. Most people are "to some extent, dissatisfied". They also "see the downside to the concentration of policymaking in Paris and overwhelmingly want more decentralisation". France has also "an unnecessarily rigid labour market", which makes businesses reluctant to hire and unemployment "persistently higher than the EU average".

This crisis also "has its origins in the accumulated entitlements of an ageing French population", said The Telegraph. They want to "retire early and work fewer hours even as economic productivity collapses". Add to that their "adamantine resistance to any reforms that involve cutting spending". But until countries "learn to live within their means, there is no resolution to be had".

What next?

Macron will be "reluctant to hold fresh elections for fear of boosting National Rally still further", said The Telegraph. But if he appoints another centrist prime minister, it is "hard to see them avoiding Mr Bayrou's fate". Both the left and far right have vowed to block a candidate from the other side with an immediate vote of no confidence. The pressure may grow for Macron to call a presidential election before 2027.

But France is "frustrated, furious, full of hatred towards the elite", Dominique Moïsi, analyst at the Paris-based think tank Institut Montaigne, told CNN. "It sounds as if a regime change is inevitable, yet I can't see how it will come about and who would do the job. We are in a phase of transition between a system that no longer works and a system no one can imagine."

Harriet Marsden is a writer for The Week, mostly covering UK and global news and politics. Before joining the site, she was a freelance journalist for seven years, specialising in social affairs, gender equality and culture. She worked for The Guardian, The Times and The Independent, and regularly contributed articles to The Sunday Times, The Telegraph, The New Statesman, Tortoise Media and Metro, as well as appearing on BBC Radio London, Times Radio and “Woman’s Hour”. She has a master’s in international journalism from City University, London, and was awarded the "journalist-at-large" fellowship by the Local Trust charity in 2021.