Are Republicans losing their midterm edge?

The sharpest opinions on the debate from around the web

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Democrats have been bracing for a potential drubbing in the November midterm elections. Republicans have been expecting to decisively win back control of the House, and take a narrow majority in the Senate. The party in control of the White House almost always loses ground in midterm elections, and Republicans only need slim gains to take control of the 50-50 Senate, or the House, where Democrats hold a 221-214 majority. With President Biden's approval rating at or near the lowest point of his presidency, and inflation at a 40-year high, Democrats appeared headed toward disaster.

But the party pulled ahead of Republicans last week in polls forecasting results on the generic ballot, according to an analysis by poll tracker FiveThirtyEight. Democrats had 43.9 percent support for control of Congress as of Aug. 15, edging ahead of Republicans, who had 43.4 percent. A month earlier, the GOP led with 44.7 percent support to the Democrats' 42.9 percent, but Democrats began catching up after the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade, the 1973 ruling that protected abortion rights nationwide. FiveThirtyEight now says Democrats have a 61 percent chance to keep or even increase their Senate majority, and a 21 percent chance to hold onto the House. Have Republicans lost their edge heading into the November general elections?

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