Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 6 percentage points, 45 percent to 39 percent, in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters released late Wednesday. Clinton's lead rises to 8 points when Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included, with Clinton staying put at 45 percent but Trump losing 2 points. The poll was conducted Oct. 28 to Nov. 1, mostly after FBI Director James Comey's letter to Congress on potentially new Clinton emails, and Clinton's 6-point lead is the same as before Comey's curveball, though both candidates gained 2 points. The online poll involved 1,772 likely voters and has a credibility interval of 3 points.
The Reuters result was better for Clinton than an ABC News/Washington Post poll Wednesday that found Clinton and Trump tied, and more bullish than many of the polling averages: RealClearPolitics has Clinton up 1.7 points in a two-way race, Huffington Post/Pollster has Clinton up 48 percent to 42 percent, and FiveThirtyEight's polling average has Clinton up 48.5 percent to 45.2 percent, with a 67.7 percent chance of winning. Wednesday was "one of those glass-half-empty, glass-half-full days" for Clinton, says FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver. She's "holding onto leads in her 'firewall' states, which are sufficient to win the Electoral College. On the other hand, Clinton's leads are narrower than they were a few weeks ago, and any further tightening — or a modest polling error in Trump's favor — could put her campaign in jeopardy."
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
-
The rise and rise of VTubersUnder The Radar This anime-inspired internet subculture is going global
-
Book reviews: 'The Thinking Machine: Jensen Huang, Nvidia, and the World’s Most Coveted Microchip' and 'Who Is Government? The Untold Story of Public Service'Feature The tech titan behind Nvidia's success and the secret stories of government workers
-
Mario Vargas Llosa: The novelist who lectured Latin AmericaFeature The Peruvian novelist wove tales of political corruption and moral compromise
-
DHS chief Kristi Noem's purse stolen from eaterySpeed Read Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's purse was stolen while she dined with family at a restaurant in Washington, D.C.
-
Trump stands by Hegseth amid ouster reportsSpeed Read The president dismissed reports that he was on the verge of firing Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over a second national security breach
-
Hegseth reportedly shared war plans in 2nd group textSpeed Read The defense secretary sent information about an attack in Yemen to a Signal group chat that included his wife and brother
-
Judge threatens Trump team with criminal contemptSpeed Read James Boasberg attempts to hold the White House accountable for disregarding court orders over El Salvador deportation flights
-
Biden slams Trump's Social Security cutsSpeed Read In his first major public address since leaving office, Biden criticized the Trump administration's 'damage' and 'destruction'
-
El Salvador refuses to return US deporteeSpeed Read President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador said he would not send back the unlawfully deported Kilmar Ábrego García
-
Trump says electronics tariff break won't lastSpeed Read The tariff exemptions on smartphones, laptops and other electronic devices are temporary, the administration says
-
Man charged in arson attack on Pennsylvania's ShapiroSpeed Read Governor Josh Shapiro and his family were sleeping when someone set fire to his Harrisburg mansion
