Bernie Sanders' campaign is in 'major, major trouble,' polling expert says
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is looking at an increasingly difficult path to the 2020 Democratic nomination, one polling expert says.
CNN analyst Harry Enten broke down Sanders' latest polling numbers and concluded that although former Vice President Joe Biden has been notably taking a hit in support following the first round of Democratic debates, actually, "Sanders' polling looks far worse."
For one, there's Sanders coming in at 14 percent behind Sens. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) in CNN's new national poll, as well as him polling at 13 percent in the newest poll from Quinnipiac. Enten compares these numbers to that of past presidential candidates, and the result isn't great for Sanders.
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
"I went back and looked at where 13 previous runner-ups since 1972 have been polling at this point in the primary," Enten writes. "All six who went on to win the nomination were polling above Sanders' 14 percent. Indeed, we can widen it out and see how perilous Sanders' position is. Among all well-known candidates, only 9 percent polling at between 10 percent and 20 percent at this point went onto win the nomination."
Enten goes on to point out that Sanders isn't polling particularly well in Iowa, either. "We've obviously got a long way to go, but Sanders 2020 looks to be in major, major trouble," he concludes.
A newer poll released by ABC on Wednesday looks better for Sanders, as he's polling six points behind Biden at 23 percent. But the poll suggests that those who watched the debates felt Biden, Harris, and Warren stood out more than Sanders, with Sanders actually polling 10 points higher among those who didn't watch the debate than those who did.
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Brendan worked as a culture writer at The Week from 2018 to 2023, covering the entertainment industry, including film reviews, television recaps, awards season, the box office, major movie franchises and Hollywood gossip. He has written about film and television for outlets including Bloody Disgusting, Showbiz Cheat Sheet, Heavy and The Celebrity Cafe.
-
Political cartoons for December 12Cartoons Friday's political cartoons include presidential piracy, emissions capping, and the Argentina bailout
-
The Week Unwrapped: what’s scuppering Bulgaria’s Euro dream?Podcast Plus has Syria changed, a year on from its revolution? And why are humans (mostly) monogamous?
-
Will there be peace before Christmas in Ukraine?Today's Big Question Discussions over the weekend could see a unified set of proposals from EU, UK and US to present to Moscow
-
Democrat files to impeach RFK Jr.Speed Read Rep. Haley Stevens filed articles of impeachment against Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
-
$1M ‘Trump Gold Card’ goes live amid travel rule furorSpeed Read The new gold card visa offers an expedited path to citizenship in exchange for $1 million
-
US seizes oil tanker off VenezuelaSpeed Read The seizure was a significant escalation in the pressure campaign against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro
-
Judge orders release of Ghislaine Maxwell recordsSpeed Read The grand jury records from the 2019 prosecution of convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein will be made public
-
Miami elects first Democratic mayor in 28 yearsSpeed Read Eileen Higgins, Miami’s first woman mayor, focused on affordability and Trump’s immigration crackdown in her campaign
-
Ex-FBI agents sue Patel over protest firingspeed read The former FBI agents were fired for kneeling during a 2020 racial justice protest for ‘apolitical tactical reasons’
-
Trump unveils $12B bailout for tariff-hit farmersSpeed Read The president continues to insist that his tariff policy is working
-
Trump’s Comey case dealt new setbackspeed read A federal judge ruled that key evidence could not be used in an effort to reindict former FBI Director James Comey
