Why the U.S. military should be worried about Donald Trump's revolution threats
In the final presidential debate, Trump refused to say he would abide by the basic norms of democracy
During the final presidential debate on Wednesday night, moderator Chris Wallace asked Donald Trump about his constant assertions that Hillary Clinton is rigging the election. In America, there is a tradition of a "peaceful transition of power, and that no matter how hard-fought a campaign is, that at the end of the campaign, the loser concedes to the winner," Wallace said. "Are you saying you're not prepared now to commit to that principle?"
"What I'm saying is that I'll tell you at the time. I'll keep you in suspense," Trump replied. It fit right in with an earlier comment that Clinton should not have been allowed to run in the first place.
For even a passing student of history, the meaning of this is plain: Trump is toying with the idea of attempting to overthrow the American state by force. It's a stunningly irresponsible thing for a presidential candidate to say. And while such a possibility is a long shot, the U.S. military should probably make some preparations to defend the American state against armed sedition.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
A democracy is a system by which the control of the state is awarded via an election. The easy and visibly legitimate process to transfer power is one of the great advantages of such a system. Instead of some Byzantine jostling among whatever heirs some inbred monarch happens to produce, which ends in "bigger army diplomacy" about half the time, you have an election and whoever gets the most votes gets to govern.
But critically, such a system depends on broadly accepted democratic norms throughout both the general population and the elite class. If the electoral system is not accepted as legitimate, or the political results of the election are resisted fiercely enough by a big enough slice of the population, the result is often violence. Stealing an election, as happened in Iran in 2009, almost always leaves an obvious paper trail. Resulting mass protests can easily turn violent, or be suppressed by violence.
Going up the scale of political violence, disgruntled factions can flee to remote areas and attempt guerrilla war. Colombia, for example, has seen a brushfire civil war between leftist guerrillas on one side and the government and right-wing paramilitaries on the other, for the last five decades. Worst of all is organized civil war. The election of Abraham Lincoln to the presidency in 1860, for example, inspired such a fury to protect and expand slavery among Southern conservatives that they broke the country in half for a time and made open war upon the legitimate United States government.
I spell all this out to drive home the immense potential danger of Trump's comments. His assertions about election fraud and Clinton's supposed criminality are either conspiracy derp or outright fabrications, obviously a psychological defense mechanism to avoid having to admit loss. In the 2012 election, he also claimed that the election was a "total sham," that "we should march on Washington" and "have a revolution." Who can say what the 40-60 million Trump voters might do if he tries to incite rebellion? The federal government must prepare for worst.
Of course, it seems all but certain that Trump will not actually retreat to the mountains of West Virginia and start arming insurgents for a campaign against Washington. But the democratic institutions of the United States are already visibly rickety. Trump's conspiracy-mongering will only erode them further. Literally every single other U.S.-style presidential democracy has collapsed, and most of those involved the military in some way. The very thought of the armed forces having to involve themselves in politics is only a short step from the generals choosing who will govern.
For the sake of our democracy, let's hope Trump loses by a spectacular, humiliating margin.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Ryan Cooper is a national correspondent at TheWeek.com. His work has appeared in the Washington Monthly, The New Republic, and the Washington Post.
-
'The double standards don't trouble the critics'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
Today's political cartoons - November 22, 2024
Cartoons Friday's cartoons - frozen assets, blazing fires, and more
By The Week US Published
-
How much of a blow is ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu?
Today's Big Question Action by Hague court damages Israel's narrative that Gaza conflict is a war between 'good and evil'
By Chas Newkey-Burden, The Week UK Published
-
US election: who the billionaires are backing
The Explainer More have endorsed Kamala Harris than Donald Trump, but among the 'ultra-rich' the split is more even
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
US election: where things stand with one week to go
The Explainer Harris' lead in the polls has been narrowing in Trump's favour, but her campaign remains 'cautiously optimistic'
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Is Trump okay?
Today's Big Question Former president's mental fitness and alleged cognitive decline firmly back in the spotlight after 'bizarre' town hall event
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
The life and times of Kamala Harris
The Explainer The vice-president is narrowly leading the race to become the next US president. How did she get to where she is now?
By The Week UK Published
-
Will 'weirdly civil' VP debate move dial in US election?
Today's Big Question 'Diametrically opposed' candidates showed 'a lot of commonality' on some issues, but offered competing visions for America's future and democracy
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
1 of 6 'Trump Train' drivers liable in Biden bus blockade
Speed Read Only one of the accused was found liable in the case concerning the deliberate slowing of a 2020 Biden campaign bus
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
How could J.D. Vance impact the special relationship?
Today's Big Question Trump's hawkish pick for VP said UK is the first 'truly Islamist country' with a nuclear weapon
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Biden, Trump urge calm after assassination attempt
Speed Reads A 20-year-old gunman grazed Trump's ear and fatally shot a rally attendee on Saturday
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published