Clinton, Trump now neck-and-neck in Electoral College projection


New analysis from Reuters released Saturday finds Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are basically even in terms of Electoral College support. Were the election held today, it "could end in a photo finish," perhaps similar to the contested George W. Bush vs. Al Gore race in 2000.
Where Trump was previously believed to trail Clinton's Electoral College count considerably, Reuters now considers Florida — with the fourth most electors of all 50 states — a likely win for the Republican nominee. Reuters also updated its projections for swing states Pennsylvania (from likely Clinton win to toss-up) and Ohio (from toss-up to likely Clinton win).
Even with this shakeup, neither candidate comes close to 50 percent support nationwide: Clinton has a slight lead of 42 percent national support to Trump's 38 percent.
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Bonnie Kristian was a deputy editor and acting editor-in-chief of TheWeek.com. She is a columnist at Christianity Today and author of Untrustworthy: The Knowledge Crisis Breaking Our Brains, Polluting Our Politics, and Corrupting Christian Community (forthcoming 2022) and A Flexible Faith: Rethinking What It Means to Follow Jesus Today (2018). Her writing has also appeared at Time Magazine, CNN, USA Today, Newsweek, the Los Angeles Times, and The American Conservative, among other outlets.
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