There's a fairly good chance that amid your perfunctory morning routine of tooth brushing and clothes-putting-on, you check the day's weather forecast, either on your phone or the TV. Now, with the 2024 presidential election looming, the modern meteorological facilities that guide that routine check-in are bracing for a potentially seismic disruption.
What did the commentators say? The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and its various subsidiary offices — including the National Weather Service (NWS) — form a "colossal operation that has become one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry and, as such, is harmful to future U.S. prosperity," said The Heritage Foundation's ultra-conservative Project 2025 initiative, which hopes to guide a potential second Trump presidency. Accordingly, the NOAA and its departments "should be dismantled and many of its functions eliminated, sent to other agencies, privatized, or placed under the control of states and territories."
The document cites a consultant report that determined that NWS forecast accuracy ranked behind private-sector meteorologists. However, those private-sector options "use government-funded observations to inform predictions," The Washington Post said. Project 2025's privatization plan would essentially force consumers to "pay for weather subscriptions," including "weather alert systems for emergencies" like hurricanes and earthquakes, The New Republic said.
Although the privatization of the National Weather Service might produce private entities that are "better funded and, theoretically, less subject to political whims," The Atlantic said, this is "not the vision that Project 2025 lays out." Instead, the group envisions a "dramatically defunded NOAA whose husk is nonetheless hyper-responsive to the administration's politics."
What next? There is a "0% chance" that any of Project 2025's recommendations for the NOAA or NWS "will ever be considered or implemented," former NOAA chief scientist Ryan Maue said on X. More likely, Maue said, would be "bipartisan legislation to split off NOAA" from the Commerce Department where it resides, and transform it into an independent agency like NASA.
Crucially, Project 2025's push for "collaboration with the private sector" already happens, said Rachel Cleetus, policy director in the climate and energy program at the Union of Concerned Scientists, to Poynter. The notion that the NOAA could be "broken up and somehow still be able to do this essential work, it won't be possible." |