Independence, and how to achieve it, is weighing on the minds of European leaders as they contemplate an end to their nations' decadeslong reliance on the U.S. for security. The once-unshakeable belief that the U.S. would honor its NATO commitments and come to the continent's collective defense has caused European nations to become "increasingly dependent on the U.S. to organize, manage and execute" military operations, said The Times. The second Trump presidency "leaves that expectation in tatters."
What did the commentators say? Weeks after taking power, Donald Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance have "spirited away confidence in the U.S. defense umbrella that has sheltered Western Europe since 1945," said James Fennell at the think tank Center for European Policy Analysis. The U.K.'s reliance on the U.S. in military and intelligence matters has exposed us to "vulnerabilities," said George Monbiot at The Guardian.
The two countries work together on a "wide range of joint intelligence programs," but effectively, the much larger National Security Agency uses the U.K.'s Government Communications Headquarters as a "subcontractor." Likewise with the British Army, which will "dip below 70,000 this year" and "relies on the U.S. for key enablers, such as communications, logistics, personnel, command, engineering and medical treatment," said Larisa Brown at The Times.
Europe as a whole "lacks military transport and logistics chains," said Lorne Cook at The Associated Press. And while the continent's "combined armies total around 2 million personnel," few "can be effectively deployed."
Without U.S. backup, Europe "could need 300,000 troops" to deter Russia, according to estimates from the Brussels think tank Bruegel. The recent proposal of a peacekeeping force in Ukraine involved fewer than 30,000 European troops on the ground, backed by air and sea power, but "finding even that many poses a challenge."
What next? European Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen will present a "comprehensive plan" to urgently "rearm" Europe at an emergency meeting of EU leaders tomorrow. Member states must be given "more fiscal space to do a surge in defense spending," she said to reporters. Europe "can build up most of the critical defense enablers needed to deter or defeat Russia without U.S. support within five years," said Defense News, "provided the political will to invest is there." |