The U.K. government last week rejected a call from Scotland’s devolved parliament for a new Scottish independence referendum 12 years after the last one failed, and the U.K. says there’s no nationwide consensus for another vote. Scotland’s parliament has nevertheless voted for the ability to run another ballot on the thorny proposition. Is another clash in the offing, or are Scotland’s dreams of independence dead for now?
‘Important motivator’ Earlier this year, 47% of the 2,136 Scots said they would vote yes to independence, while 44% said they would vote no, with 8% undecided, in a survey by BBC Scotland and Savanta. Although just a “snapshot,” this is “in line with the polling trend,” said the BBC. But there’s “another consideration”: Only 13% of those polled ranked independence as a “top three priority” for Scotland, trailing the cost of living (62%), the NHS (50%) and the economy (31%).
Independence remains an “important motivator for some voters,” but it “does not feel as potent an issue” as it has in the past, said the BBC. That said, independence is “significantly more popular” than the SNP, the main nationalist party.
‘SNP fights for Scotland’ Although last week’s vote was “largely symbolic,” it “highlights how Scotland’s constitutional future has returned to the core of British politics,” said Bloomberg. The SNP may have fallen short of an overall majority in the recent elections to the Scottish Parliament, but with the left-wing Green Party, it has still secured its “largest ever pro-independence majority.” That the SNP secured a fifth consecutive election victory despite its “patchy record on public service delivery” and “bouts of internal warfare,” as well as an embezzlement scandal, reflects the “independence aspirations among half the population and the sense that the SNP fights for Scotland,” said the Financial Times.
The SNP doesn’t “have to be good”; it just has to “be Scottish,” said Andy Maciver, of PR consultancy Message Matters, to the outlet. But to build support for independence above 50%, the party will need to restore faith in its competence. The prospect of Nigel Farage of the U.K.’s right-wing Reform Party as prime minister could help. “They need people to run away from the rain in Westminster and toward the sun” in Scotland’s parliament.
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