The breakaway group Stay Free Alberta submitted a petition this week seeking a referendum on independence, turning in 302,000 signatures, well ahead of the 178,000 (10% of eligible voters) required for the authorities to consider such a move. It marks a “key step” toward a possible vote, according to The Associated Press.
The separatist movement is rooted in what’s known as Western alienation. Some residents believe Alberta is “often overlooked by decision-makers” in Ottawa, said the BBC. Anger with the federal capital has “long been brewing” in the province, particularly regarding the development of its abundant natural resources.
Some Albertans argue that the federal government, especially under the ruling Liberal Party, has “stood in the way of the province’s oil and gas industry in favor of pro-climate legislation,” said the BBC. Separatists maintain that independence would “unlock resources.” The overwhelmingly right-wing movement was once “on the political fringes,” but over the past year, a “unity crisis has become increasingly likely.” Recent changes pushed through by Alberta Premier Danielle Smith have made a constitutional referendum easier to trigger.
So far, Prime Minister Mark Carney has not responded to the petition. But even if the federal government allows a referendum to go ahead in October, a “yes” vote won’t automatically bring independence.
In any case, polls suggest that the majority of Albertans would vote “no,” with only 26% supporting independence from Canada, according to a survey by Abacus Data. A rival petition by the anti-separatist group Forever Canadian received 450,000 signatures.
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