Intelligent punter's guide to the 2014 British Open golf odds

Can Justin Rose win three on the trot? Or should you be betting on another golfer to lift the Claret Jug?

Justin Rose
(Image credit: Stuart Franklin/Getty Images)

Choosing the winner of the British Open, which starts tomorrow at the Royal Liverpool Golf Club, Hoylake, might seem a daunting prospect. But if you take into account three key factors, it is possible to narrow down the huge field to those worth an each-way bet.

Course form: The last time the Open was held at Hoylake was in 2006. Tiger Woods posted a score of -18 and won by two shots from Chris DiMarco, with Ernie Els coming third and Jim Furyk fourth. Sergio Garcia and Hideto Tanihara tied for fifth. That may be eight long years ago, but course form is so important in Opens that anyone who did well at Hoylake last time needs to be taken seriously if they're lining up again. However, accuracy off the tee - rather than raw power – is going to be crucial: the roughs are much longer than they were in 2006 and there are now 82 bunkers to avoid.

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is a writer, broadcaster and blogger who writes The Week’s Intelligent Punter’s Guides. He is co-founder of the Campaign For Public Ownership. He tweets on sport @MightyMagyar and on politics and other subjects @NeilClark66