Hillary Clinton leads in just one of the four swing states polled by Quinnipiac University, in the latest batch of polls released Thursday by the Connecticut-based polling center. Clinton edges out Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup in Virginia, leading 50 percent to 43 percent. But in Colorado, Clinton and Trump are tied, each with 47 percent; in both Georgia and Iowa, Trump is ahead with 50 percent support to Clinton's 44 percent.
Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia can all be considered "a metaphor for what is happening in the presidential race," said Peter A. Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "When Quinnipiac University polled last in those states on Aug. 17, Secretary Hillary Clinton was riding the post-convention wave that gave her double-digit leads in many polls," Brown said. "Now, the race has tightened considerably."
In the August version of the Quinnipiac swing-state poll, Clinton led Trump in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia. She had a 10-point lead in Colorado, 49 percent to 39 percent, a 3-point lead in Iowa at 47 percent to 44 percent, and a 12-point lead in Virginia, with 50 percent to Trump's 38 percent. (Quinnipiac did not include Georgia in the August version of its swing-state poll.)
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This latest batch of polls was taken from Sept. 13-21, among roughly 600 likely voters in each of the four states. Both the Colorado and Georgia polls have a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points, while Iowa's margin was slightly higher at 4 points, and Virginia's slightly lower at 3.8 points. Per the RealClearPolitics polling averages, Clinton's slight lead in Virginia and Trump's leads in Georgia and Iowa are par for the course, but RealClearPolitics shows Clinton ahead in Colorado by 3.7 points on average.
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