The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist polls released Thursday revealed that while Hillary Clinton has fallen far behind Donald Trump in Texas and Arizona, she might still have a shot at winning Georgia — a state no Democrat has won since 1992.
Trump and Clinton are virtually tied in the Peach State, with Trump at 45 percent support among likely voters and Clinton at 44 percent. This marks a slight improvement for Clinton from the last poll released in September, when Trump led 46 percent to 43 percent. RealClearPolitics' polling averages, however, peg Trump with a winning margin of 5.7 points.
While it once looked possible for Clinton to take Arizona and Texas — two states that are traditionally safe for the GOP — the poll results Thursday showed her 5 points behind in Arizona and 9 points behind in Texas. In September, Trump led in Arizona by just 1 point. This particular poll had not surveyed Texas since the presidential primaries, but the decision to investigate the Lone Star State this close to Election Day was likely inspired by the fact that just last month, a poll found Clinton within the margin of error of Trump in Texas, which has not backed a Democrat since 1976.
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On average, RealClearPolitics shows Trump 11.4 points ahead in Texas and 4 points ahead in Arizona.
The polls were conducted from Oct. 30 through Nov. 1, after FBI Director James Comey announced more emails were discovered that could be pertinent to the investigation of Clinton's private email server. The margins of error in both Arizona and Georgia were plus or minus 3.7 percentage points; in Texas, the margin was plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. The Georgia poll surveyed 707 likely voters, the Arizona poll surveyed 719 likely voters, and the Texas poll surveyed 679 likely voters.
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