Presented with generic Democratic and Republican candidates for a House of Representatives seat, 50 percent of Americans say they'd vote blue and just 40 percent would vote red, a new ABC/Washington Post poll published Monday reveals.
Among registered voters, the margin narrows from 10 to four points, though the generic Democrat still wins with 47 percent support to the Republican's 43 percent. The survey's margin of error is 3.5 percent, making that race a statistical tie. For registered voters who are certain to vote, Democrats lead by five points.
And though that 10-point lead sounds impressive, Democrats' margin of victory has shrunk dramatically since January. Asked the same questions then, generic House Democrats had 13-, 12-, and 15-point leads over their generic GOP counterparts among voters, registered voters, and registered voters who are certain to vote, respectively.
Pollsters posited lessening identification with the Democratic Party and a new attention to voting for candidates who share one's perspective on gun regulation as probable factors in this shift.