Is 2020 the year Texas actually goes blue?
Despite proving itself to be a bonafide red state for more than 40 years, President Trump may want to take a second look at Texas before 2020 arrives. An Emerson College poll of Texas voters published Sunday predicts that Trump would lose the presidency next year when matched up with one top tier Democrat, is in a head-to-head tie with another, and could be overtaken by two others.
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Even Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is within grasp of the Texas vote in the Emerson poll, showing 47 percent of the vote to Trump's 53. Pulling Trump's vote down and Warren's up by the 3.4 percent margin of error would give them the same tie as Trump and O'Rourke.
While Texas has a very deep red history, it turned a murky purple during last year's race for Republican Sen. Ted Cruz's seat. Cruz ended up beating O'Rourke, but only by a few more than 200,000 votes, or 2.6 percent of the vote.
Emerson surveyed 799 registered voters from April 25-28, though 559 people were surveyed on landlines and 240 were surveyed online, with a credibility interval of 3.4 percentage points.
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