New poll shows Trump is 'highly competitive' against leading 2020 Democrats in key battleground states
A year ahead of the 2020 presidential election, some new polling shows President Trump in a strong position in key battleground states.
A new poll released Monday by The New York Times and Siena College matches up Trump against former Vice President Joe Biden and Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) in the six closest states the president won in 2016: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina.
Among registered voters, Trump leads Warren by between three and six percentage points in three out of six of these states (Michigan, Florida, and North Carolina) and is even with her in two (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), while Warren beats him by two percentage points in one state: Arizona. Trump also leads Sanders by between one and three percentage points in three states (Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina), while Sanders beats Trump by one or two percentage points in the other three (Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Biden, meanwhile, beats Trump among registered voters in four out of the six states (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, and Arizona), while Trump beats him in North Carolina and ties him in Michigan. Among likely voters, Trump generally fares better against the candidates, leading or tying Warren in all six states. This comes as the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll shows Warren within five points of Biden nationally.
The Times' Nate Cohn notes this polling shows Trump "remains highly competitive" in these states crucial to his re-election, adding that "on average over the last three cycles, head-to-head polls a year ahead of the election have been as close to the final result as those taken the day before."
This poll was conducted by speaking to 3,766 registered voters from Oct. 13-26. The margin of error for each state is 4.4 percentage points except for Michigan, where the margin of error is 5.1 percentage points. Read the full results at The New York Times.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Brendan worked as a culture writer at The Week from 2018 to 2023, covering the entertainment industry, including film reviews, television recaps, awards season, the box office, major movie franchises and Hollywood gossip. He has written about film and television for outlets including Bloody Disgusting, Showbiz Cheat Sheet, Heavy and The Celebrity Cafe.
-
Oysters from New York's past could shore up its future
Under the Radar Project aims to seed a billion oysters in the city's waterways to improve water quality, fight coastal erosion and protect against storm surges
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Today's political cartoons - November 24, 2024
Cartoons Sunday's cartoons - taped bananas, flying monkeys, and more
By The Week US Published
-
The Spanish cop, 20 million euros and 13 tonnes of cocaine
In the Spotlight Óscar Sánchez Gil, Chief Inspector of Spain's Economic and Tax Crimes Unit, has been arrested for drug trafficking
By The Week UK Published
-
Global court issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu
Speed Read The International Criminal Court issued warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, who stand accused of war crimes
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Gaetz bows out, Trump pivots to Pam Bondi
Speed Read Gaetz withdrew from attorney generation consideration, making way for longtime Trump loyalist Pam Bondi
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
GOP's Mace seeks federal anti-trans bathroom ban
Speed Read Rep. Nancy Mace of South Carolina has introduced legislation to ban transgender people from using federal facilities
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Ukraine fires ATACMS, Russia ups hybrid war
Speed Read Ukraine shot U.S.-provided long-range missiles and Russia threatened retaliation
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
New York DA floats 4-year Trump sentencing freeze
Speed Read President-elect Donald Trump's sentencing is on hold, and his lawyers are pushing to dismiss the case while he's in office
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Wyoming judge strikes down abortion, pill bans
Speed Read The judge said the laws — one of which was a first-in-the-nation prohibition on the use of medication to end pregnancy — violated the state's constitution
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
US sanctions Israeli West Bank settler group
Speed Read The Biden administration has imposed sanctions on Amana, Israel's largest settlement development organization
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Gaetz ethics report in limbo as sex allegations emerge
Speed Read A lawyer representing two women alleges that Matt Gaetz paid them for sex, and one witnessed him having sex with minor
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published