As opposition forces took hold of Damascus a little over a week ago, Syria's dictator fled. Flying below radar range and with "the aircraft's transponder switched off", said Reuters, a plane carrying Bashar al-Assad headed first to Russia's airbase outside the Syrian city of Latakia and then on to Moscow, where his wife, Asma, and their three children were reportedly waiting.
Russia, a key ally of Assad during Syria's civil war, is said to have coordinated with neighbouring states to ensure the overthrown president could leave safely in a Russian plane. Assad's journey brought to an end his family's dynastic rule stretching back to 1971, and signalled the start of a life in exile.
Where is Assad living? Shortly after the fall of Damascus, Russian state media reported that Assad and his family were in Moscow and would be granted asylum on "humanitarian grounds". But the Kremlin refused to confirm Assad's whereabouts or if he would receive asylum. As well as his immediate family, Assad is believed to have been joined by translators, drivers and security guards. Other relatives are also thought to be in Moscow, including his wife's previously London-based parents, Fawaz and Sahar Akhras, according to the Daily Mail.
How safe is he? Several members of Assad's extended family bought at least 18 luxury apartments in a Moscow complex in 2019, the Financial Times reported. But while the former president and his family are also believed to have $2 billion hidden in offshore accounts, tax havens, real-estate portfolios and shell corporations across the world, they are unlikely to be living in extravagance in the Russian capital, said The Guardian. Instead, they are probably "hidden away in a secluded estate" and under the "tight surveillance" of Russian security guards.
What will Assad do now? The toppled leader will "maintain a very low profile, perhaps for the rest of his life", US-based Syria expert David Lesch, who has met Assad several times, told The Guardian. Assad is unlikely to leave Russia for any country where he faces the threat of extradition back to Syria.
He has joined Putin's "collection of ex-dictators" and must now do "whatever is convenient for the Kremlin", wrote Professor Mark Galeotti, an expert on Russian security affairs, in The Spectator. Putin seems unlikely to hand Assad back to the Syrians but he remains "a potential bargaining chip". |