Cyber war or gas ransom? How Russia could react to sanctions
Russia says US and EU sanctions are 'absolutely unacceptable' and warns of reprisals
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
You are now subscribed
Your newsletter sign-up was successful
Russia has reacted angrily to the EU's resolution to expand sanctions on Russia following the downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17, describing the measures as "absolutely unacceptable".
Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev has promised "reciprocal measures" for the new round of sanctions. But what can Moscow do in response to Western embargoes and financial restrictions?
Like for like
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
President Vladimir Putin has warned that any sanctions on Russia will have a "boomerang effect" that will harm the US and EU. Medvedev says that in response to the new round of restrictions, "reciprocal measures against foreign companies and individuals" could be introduced. Russia's foreign ministry says that any sanctions will be met with reprisals on American and European businesses. "If Washington has decided to ruin Russia–US relations, then it will be on its own head," the ministry said in a statement. "We do not intend to tolerate blackmail and we reserve the right for retaliatory measures".
Confiscation of property
Russian ministers are currently working on a bill that would allow the state to confiscate the property of US and European companies. Senior government spokesperson Andrei Klishas, told the RIA Novosti news agency that the bill was designed "to help the president and government protect our sovereignty from attack". However, political analysts have dismissed the move as "intimidating rhetoric unlikely to turn into action," according to the Moscow Times. Legal experts suggest that asset confiscation is unlikely because it violates Russian and international laws.
Cyber warfare
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Professor Mike Jackson, a computer security expert at Birmingham City University, warns that Russia may retaliate against EU sanctions with cyber warfare. "Traditionally the response to sanctions has been the denial of essential supplies to those imposing the sanctions – for example ceasing to supply oil to Germany. In today's electronic age the response might be to electronically disrupt the workings of government and industry," Jackson says.
According to Jackson, cyber spies, thought to be sponsored by the Russian government, now function across Eastern Europe. Some of those spies are known to have infiltrated computers in a number of governmental departments. "It is thought that primarily they are fishing for secrets but there is no reason why their networks could not be used to disable IT operations and cripple government functions," Jackson says.
Political disruption
Experts warn that increased sanctions may result in Russia becoming increasingly obstructive on the world stage, particularly in relation to international efforts on Iran, Syria and North Korea. Russia could potentially use its veto power in the UN Security Council to block international initiatives, such as the recent Australian push for a resolution granting international investigators full "unfettered" access to the MH17 crash site.
Withholding gas
Europe is bracing itself for a "gas crisis," says the Daily Telegraph, in anticipation of the possibility that Russia may cut off its gas supplies to the continent. "There would be a problem for European industry in several countries if Russia were to retaliate with energy sanctions," Adrian Karatnycky, an analyst at the Atlantic Council, told USA Today. "What they fear is Putin shutting off gas supplies to Europe".
Analysts say Russia is unlikely to cut off gas supplies "because this would trigger a fiscal crisis in Russia itself and cause Europe to switch permanently to other sources", the Telegraph notes. "Yet the political temperature is rising".
-
Why is the Trump administration talking about ‘Western civilization’?Talking Points Rubio says Europe, US bonded by religion and ancestry
-
Quentin Deranque: a student’s death energizes the French far rightIN THE SPOTLIGHT Reactions to the violent killing of an ultraconservative activist offer a glimpse at the culture wars roiling France ahead of next year’s elections
-
Secured vs. unsecured loans: how do they differ and which is better?the explainer They are distinguished by the level of risk and the inclusion of collateral
-
Putin’s shadow warFeature The Kremlin is waging a campaign of sabotage and subversion against Ukraine’s allies in the West
-
Alexei Navalny and Russia’s history of poisoningsThe Explainer ‘Precise’ and ‘deniable’, the Kremlin’s use of poison to silence critics has become a ’geopolitical signature flourish’
-
What happens now that the US-Russia nuclear treaty is expiring?TODAY’S BIG QUESTION Weapons experts worry that the end of the New START treaty marks the beginning of a 21st-century atomic arms race
-
Epstein files topple law CEO, roil UK governmentSpeed Read Peter Mandelson, Britain’s former ambassador to the US, is caught up in the scandal
-
Iran and US prepare to meet after skirmishesSpeed Read The incident comes amid heightened tensions in the Middle East
-
Grok in the crosshairs as EU launches deepfake porn probeIN THE SPOTLIGHT The European Union has officially begun investigating Elon Musk’s proprietary AI, as regulators zero in on Grok’s porn problem and its impact continent-wide
-
Israel retrieves final hostage’s body from GazaSpeed Read The 24-year-old police officer was killed during the initial Hamas attack
-
China’s Xi targets top general in growing purgeSpeed Read Zhang Youxia is being investigated over ‘grave violations’ of the law