Why South Carolina matters more than New Hampshire
The historically significant showdown in the Palmetto State is the make-or-break contest for some GOP candidates — and Mitt Romney's far from home free
Mitt Romney's big (though hardly unexpected) win in New Hampshire's Republican presidential primary is the day's top political news. But Tuesday's Granite State vote was "only the appetizer to South Carolina's main course" on Jan. 21, says Chris Cillizza at The Washington Post. Here, four reasons why the next GOP nominating contest is the one that will really count:
1. It's all or nothing for Gingrich and Perry
Romney is "likely to spend the next 10 days fending off attacks from several of his opponents who see the Palmetto State as their last stand," say Michael Falcone and Amy Walter at ABC News. South Carolina is a "must-win state" for Newt Gingrich, and he's already trying to "bring the pain" with TV ads calling Mitt's stint as Massachusetts's governor "pro-abortion." Rick Perry, in the same boat, will inevitably blast Romney, too, on everything from social issues to Mitt's corporate-buyout days at Bain Capital. Such nothing-to-lose attacks may cost Romney votes.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
2. South Carolina is less disposed to favor Mitt
In many ways, Mitt is sitting pretty after his "historic sweep of the nation's first two contests" in Iowa and New Hampshire, says Dave Wedge at the Boston Herald. But, unlike New Hampshire, South Carolina is a "conservative hotbed" where hard-right Christians are skeptical of Romney, a relatively moderate Mormon. "The biggest knock on Romney has been that he's not a true conservative, and that's a theme Gingrich, former Sen. Rick Santorum, and others are likely to try and hammer home."
3. But Romney could also wrap up the nomination here
A Romney win in South Carolina, says Cillizza, "effectively ends the GOP nomination fight. A loss by Romney likely means a protracted primary fight that continues through Super Tuesday on March 6." Romney's the choice of establishment Republicans, but the title of "consensus conservative candidate" remains "very much up for grabs." Conservative activists are in a "near-panic," say Peter Wallsten and Karen Tumulty, also in the Post. They know that if they can't pick one conservative to rally behind, the nomination is Romney's.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
4. South Carolina always picks the winner
South Carolina Republicans have a saying: "Iowa picks corn, New Hampshire picks campaigns' pockets, and South Carolina picks Republican presidents." And that's "not just a catchy phrase," says Anna Fifield at Britain's Financial Times. "South Carolina has voted for the eventual nominee in every Republican primary since 1980." That alone arguably makes the state a bigger deal than New Hampshire. Plus, South Carolina primaries are "famously vicious." Stay tuned.
Create an account with the same email registered to your subscription to unlock access.
-
Magazine interactive crossword - May 3, 2024
Puzzles and Quizzes Issue - May 3, 2024
By The Week US Published
-
Magazine solutions - May 3, 2024
Puzzles and Quizzes Issue - May 3, 2024
By The Week US Published
-
Magazine printables - May 3, 2024
Puzzles and Quizzes Issue - May 3, 2024
By The Week US Published
-
Arizona court reinstates 1864 abortion ban
Speed Read The law makes all abortions illegal in the state except to save the mother's life
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Trump, billions richer, is selling Bibles
Speed Read The former president is hawking a $60 "God Bless the USA Bible"
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
The debate about Biden's age and mental fitness
In Depth Some critics argue Biden is too old to run again. Does the argument have merit?
By Grayson Quay Published
-
How would a second Trump presidency affect Britain?
Today's Big Question Re-election of Republican frontrunner could threaten UK security, warns former head of secret service
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
'Rwanda plan is less a deterrent and more a bluff'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By The Week UK Published
-
Henry Kissinger dies aged 100: a complicated legacy?
Talking Point Top US diplomat and Nobel Peace Prize winner remembered as both foreign policy genius and war criminal
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Last updated
-
Trump’s rhetoric: a shift to 'straight-up Nazi talk'
Why everyone's talking about Would-be president's sinister language is backed by an incendiary policy agenda, say commentators
By The Week UK Published
-
More covfefe: is the world ready for a second Donald Trump presidency?
Today's Big Question Republican's re-election would be a 'nightmare' scenario for Europe, Ukraine and the West
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published