Is the endgame near in Wisconsin? 4 scenarios
The media has confused the question: Are Democrats returning from exile to allow a tough anti-union bill, or refusing to cave under any circumstances?
The Wall Street Journal had a big scoop on Monday, reporting that Wisconsin's AWOL Democrats would be returning to allow a vote on Gov. Scott Walker's (R-Wis.) contentious anti-union bill. The Democrats, apparently as surprised as everyone else, quickly distanced themselves from the Journal story. Walker and the Democrats then spent the rest of the day trying to blame each other for failing to negotiate an end to the nearly month-long standoff. The confusion left everyone wondering what happens next. Here, four theories:
1. The stalemate continues for months
Walker's aggressive press conference on Monday was apparently intended to force the Democrats to "cave and return to Wisconsin," says Greg Sargent at The Washington Post. Instead, he stiffened their resolve to hold out. And by suggesting that two Democratic state senators were trying to cut a side deal with him, Walker "antagonized" the last two Democrats willing to work with him. Good, says Stephen Bainbridge at ProfessorBainbridge.com. The Republicans must stand firm, "even if takes all summer" to end this standoff.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
2. At least one Democrat caves
All this "confusion" over the Democrats' plans can mean only one thing, says Moe Lane at RedState. The 14 Democrats "lost whatever unit cohesion that they might have had in the first place." They are 14 individuals, after all, and some of them must be "getting tired, sore, and fuming" about becoming "surrogate whipping boys" in the national debate on unions. Someone's resolve will break, and remember, "it only takes one AWOL senator to end this nonsense."
3. "Nervous Republicans" cut a deal
It also only takes a few moderate Republicans to "torpedo Walker's budget," says E.D. Kain at Forbes, and it seems likely that they're already working behind the scenes on a deal with Democrats. Walker will never compromise, but eight Republicans are facing summer recall elections, and losing their seats is "a very real danger for some of them." The governor is becoming toxic, so there's strong incentive for state Republicans to keep their distance.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
4. The Democrats will give in... but win anyway
The fleeing Democrats have already made Walker's "effort to quietly gut collective bargaining... a huge failure," says Ezra Klein at The Washington Post. But they can't stay away forever. Nor should they. The Democrats' move is in many ways like the "traditional filibuster" of lore: A "physically exhausting and politically dangerous stand" against a bill they hate, that shuts down business in "a desperate attempt to win the public over to their side." Now it's up to Wisconsin voters to support Dems.
Create an account with the same email registered to your subscription to unlock access.
-
Justices set to punt on Trump immunity case
Speed Read Conservative justices signaled support for Trump's protection from criminal charges
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Do youth curfews work?
Today's big question Banning unaccompanied children from towns and cities is popular with some voters but is contentious politically
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
'Sleaze baack!'
Today's Newspapers A roundup of the headlines from the US front pages
By The Week Staff Published
-
Arizona court reinstates 1864 abortion ban
Speed Read The law makes all abortions illegal in the state except to save the mother's life
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Trump, billions richer, is selling Bibles
Speed Read The former president is hawking a $60 "God Bless the USA Bible"
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
The debate about Biden's age and mental fitness
In Depth Some critics argue Biden is too old to run again. Does the argument have merit?
By Grayson Quay Published
-
How would a second Trump presidency affect Britain?
Today's Big Question Re-election of Republican frontrunner could threaten UK security, warns former head of secret service
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
'Rwanda plan is less a deterrent and more a bluff'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By The Week UK Published
-
Henry Kissinger dies aged 100: a complicated legacy?
Talking Point Top US diplomat and Nobel Peace Prize winner remembered as both foreign policy genius and war criminal
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Last updated
-
Trump’s rhetoric: a shift to 'straight-up Nazi talk'
Why everyone's talking about Would-be president's sinister language is backed by an incendiary policy agenda, say commentators
By The Week UK Published
-
More covfefe: is the world ready for a second Donald Trump presidency?
Today's Big Question Republican's re-election would be a 'nightmare' scenario for Europe, Ukraine and the West
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published