According to a primary forecast from FiveThirtyEight the morning before Thursday's Republican debate, Ted Cruz has a 51 percent chance of winning the Iowa caucuses on Feb. 1. Donald Trump sits behind Cruz with a 29 percent chance, and Rubio, Carson, and Bush trail from there at 14, 3, and 1 percent respectively.
But if Trump was looking to take back the odds on Iowa Thursday night, he found a formidable opponent in his former buddy, Cruz:
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