Will Democrats impeach their way to a 2020 loss?

Polling suggests it's not at all clear that the House impeachment inquiry is a political winner

Nancy Pelosi and Adam Schiff.
(Image credit: Illustrated | Win McNamee/Getty Images, DickDuerrstein/iStock)

Democrats continue to press forward on impeachment, where they have the numbers to win. But will they win that battle, only to find out that they will lose an election they might otherwise win? Not all of the numbers are lining up in their favor, and The New York Times offered them a rude reminder of electoral realities in 2020.

House Democrats have not just cast the die on impeachment, as Nancy Pelosi quoted Julius Caesar's famous line when crossing the Rubicon of Alea iacta est. They have rolled the dice on the 2020 election by setting the expectation that impeachment will succeed, and that it will lead public opinion against both Donald Trump and Republicans in the election. At risk are more than two dozen House seats in districts that originally backed Trump in 2016, as well as an opportunity to beat the GOP in the Senate, where nearly twice as many Republicans as Democrats will defend seats next year.

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Edward Morrissey

Edward Morrissey has been writing about politics since 2003 in his blog, Captain's Quarters, and now writes for HotAir.com. His columns have appeared in the Washington Post, the New York Post, The New York Sun, the Washington Times, and other newspapers. Morrissey has a daily Internet talk show on politics and culture at Hot Air. Since 2004, Morrissey has had a weekend talk radio show in the Minneapolis/St. Paul area and often fills in as a guest on Salem Radio Network's nationally-syndicated shows. He lives in the Twin Cities area of Minnesota with his wife, son and daughter-in-law, and his two granddaughters. Morrissey's new book, GOING RED, will be published by Crown Forum on April 5, 2016.