Democrats finally realize the weakness of their majorities


Democratic divisions have delayed, if not defeated, President Biden's Build Back Better agenda, and it will need a Christmas miracle to pass before this year is out. Democrats simply don't have big enough majorities to pass the kind of ambitious legislation they promised the progressive base in last year's election, and they may not have majorities at all after next year.
Liberals had hoped their sprawling climate and social welfare spending package would have a price tag between $6 trillion and $10 trillion. It shrank to $3.5 trillion out of the gate, and Democratic moderates continued to whittle away until it was as low as $1.75 trillion (though the Congressional Budget Office ultimately scored it a little higher). It turns out you can't be the party of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) when Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) functionally has veto power over your legislative program. And as Manchin appears to be serious about his more conservative views, rather than merely playing for leverage or placating increasingly Republican West Virginians, this arrangement doesn't bode well for progressives.
Maybe the Biden agenda bill will never pass. Even if it does, it will likely underwhelm the left, because it will be retooled to win Manchin's approval. Resigned, congressional Democrats are responding by pivoting to voting rights, though their prospects for legislative success are only slightly better on that front.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
But voting rights have one key strategic advantage over Build Back Better: They could potentially unify the Democrats and will at least allow them to blame the Republicans if the project fails. Democrats can then use the issue to galvanize minority voters in the midterm elections, where they'll need all the help they can get. If Build Back Better fails, by contrast, Democrats will have no one to blame but themselves.
A win on voting rights would be more than a feather in the party's cap, too. It will likely come at the expense of the filibuster, which might allow Democrats to get more through the 50-50 Senate. For now, however, Democrats are in a bind: Voters gave them unified control of the federal government's elected branches, but by such small margins that control is almost nominal. Build Back Better won't join the ranks of the New Deal, the Great Society, ObamaCare, or even former President Bill Clinton's 1993 tax hike unless that changes.
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
W. James Antle III is the politics editor of the Washington Examiner, the former editor of The American Conservative, and author of Devouring Freedom: Can Big Government Ever Be Stopped?.
-
5 cultural trails to traverse by car
The Week Recommends Leave the hiking shoes at home
-
Could Iran's water crisis be the regime's tipping point?
Today's Big Question Drought is a problem. So is government mismanagement.
-
Trump revives K-12 Presidential Fitness Test
Speed Read The Obama administration phased the test out in 2012, replacing it with a program focused on overall health rather than standardized benchmarks
-
'Fossil-fired grids have provided a cautionary tale'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
-
Ghislaine Maxwell: angling for a Trump pardon
Talking Point Convicted sex trafficker's testimony could shed new light on president's links to Jeffrey Epstein
-
Why is the Democratic Party's favorability rating so low?
Talking Points Voters do not like Republican policies. They like Democrats even less.
-
Does depopulation threaten humanity?
Talking Points Falling birth rates could create a 'smaller, sadder, poorer future'
-
Democrats: The 2028 race has begun
Feature Democratic primaries have already kicked off in South Carolina
-
Gavin Newsom mulls California redistricting to counter Texas gerrymandering
TALKING POINTS A controversial plan has become a major flashpoint among Democrats struggling for traction in the Trump era
-
Grijalva wins Democratic special primary for Arizona
Speed Read She will go up against Republican nominee Daniel Butierez to fill the US House seat her father held until his death earlier this year
-
A Democratic election in Arizona is a microcosm of the party's infighting
The Explainer The top three candidates are fighting it out for a special election seat