What happened Andy Burnham has prevailed handsomely in the contest for the seat of Makerfield, securing a return to Westminster and immediately intensifying questions about Keir Starmer’s future as prime minister.
The Greater Manchester mayor held off a challenge from Reform UK in a by-election contest widely viewed as a test of Labour’s direction and leadership. In the end Labour won easily, securing 55% of the vote to Reform UK’s 35%.
Reform leader Nigel Farage had publicly acknowledged before polling day that Burnham’s personal popularity made the seat difficult to win, arguing that almost any other Labour candidate would have been more vulnerable.
Burnham campaigned heavily on his local record, with many of his advertisements focusing on his work in Greater Manchester rather than the Labour brand.
Who said what During the campaign Burnham described the contest as a chance to “change politics”, arguing that he had spent the past decade pursuing practical solutions rather than partisan battles.
Farage said Reform’s defeat was partly the result of vote-splitting on the right. But Labour’s Lisa Nandy rebuked that claim, saying the Restore Britain vote “doesn’t seem to be quite at the level that the polls suggested”.
“No poll had Burnham doing as well as this or Reform as worse,” said Ben Walker in The New Statesman. The result is “off the charts”.
“Before this result, a cabinet member told me that they would simply not allow ‘a Burnham coronation’ and would feel the need to throw their hat into the ring if it were headed that way”, said Emily Maitlis from The News Agents podcast. “I wonder if that still stands with the scale of this result?”
“In terms of his electoral pitch to Labour MPs, nobody else comes close,” said Adam Payne from PoliticsHome.
What next? Attention is likely to shift rapidly from Makerfield to Westminster. Burnham’s victory will probably see him “mount a formal challenge to Keir Starmer’s leadership”, said former Labour MP Tom Harris in The Telegraph. And that will almost certainly come “sooner rather than later”.
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