When Donald Trump selected Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance (R) as his vice-presidential running mate, he conferred a measure of trust, not simply as a potential presidential successor but as a campaign asset who would energize the MAGA base. Then the ground shifted under their feet.Â
President Joe Biden's decision to end his campaign turned the dynamics that led Trump to select Vance upside down. At the same time, Vance's initial outings as a candidate were widely criticized as awkward and uncompelling. Has the senator become a drag on the Trump ticket, or does Vance remain a potent force on the campaign trail?
'The road got a lot harder' Vance has contributed little to Trump's reelection campaign, say some Republicans, while introducing a host of vulnerabilities. He is the "worst choice of all the options," one anonymous House Republican said to The Hill. "He adds nothing to the Trump ticket. He energizes the same people that love Trump." If Trump were to lose in November, it would be "because of this pick," another House Republican said.Â
Trump picked Vance at the "peak of the party's confidence about the 2024 election," Axios said. Trump's electoral road "got a lot harder" after Biden's decision, said one House Republican. Vance was the "only pick that wasn't the safe pick. And I think everyone has now realized that."
Vance is "barreling toward Palin territory," Josh Marshall said at Talking Points Memo, referencing 2008 vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin, who ran with John McCain. People have begun to "expect news about him to be weird or embarrassing. Hard to undo that once it takes hold, especially if you are super weird and embarrassing."
What matters most As much as Vance may have struggled so far, Trump has "shown no indication that he has buyer's remorse" over his pick, Axios said. "I'd do the same pick. He's doing really well," Trump said on a recent press call, after being asked whether he would have chosen Vance knowing that Kamala Harris would be the Democratic candidate.Â
Ultimately, Vance's struggles are not a liability for the Trump campaign, since he "isn't so unpopular that he would seem to be a reason for Trump-inclined voters to abandon Trump," The Washington Post said. The name on the top of the ticket is "what matters to the vast majority of voters." |