IPCC’s report on climate change: ‘the frightening future that awaits us’
Landmark study says global temperatures likely to rise by 1.5C over next 20 years

Changes to the climate are being felt in every region of the planet, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has warned.
A newly published study by the UN body, which assesses the science related to climate change, found that many of these changes “are unprecedented in thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of years” - and that some are “irreversible over hundreds to thousands of years”.
The 234 scientists behind the research calculate that global temperatures are likely to rise by 1.5C over the next 20 years, in breach of the 2015 Paris climate agreement. A total of 195 nations agreed to a goal to “hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2C”, and to pursue efforts “to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels”, says the IPCC.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Scientists usually measure rising global temperatures against the baseline of the years between about 1850 and 1900 (defined as the “pre-industrial period”), “when fossil-fuel burning had yet to change the climate”, the BBC reports.
Emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities are responsible for approximately 1.1C of warming since this period, according to the newly published study, which “has been eight years in the making”, says The Guardian. The IPCC found that human activity is “unequivocally” the cause of rapid changes to the climate including sea level rises, melting polar ice and glaciers, heatwaves, floods and droughts.
The damning report is not without any element of hope, however. The experts say that “strong and sustained reductions” in emissions of greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide would be able to limit climate change.
But “while benefits for air quality would come quickly, it could take 20 to 30 years to see global temperatures stabilise”, the UN body adds.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
The IPCC working group’s co-chair, Valerie Masson-Delmotte, has described the findings as a “reality check”, while UN secretary general Antonio Guterres called the report a “code red for humanity”.
As environmental groups urge governments to act without delay, the WWF’s chief adviser on climate change, Dr Stephen Cornelius, added that the report is “a stark assessment of the frightening future that awaits us if we fail to act”.
Boris Johnson has described the report as “sobering” reading.
“We know what must be done to limit global warming - consign coal to history and shift to clean energy sources, protect nature and provide climate finance for countries on the front line,” said a statement from the prime minister, who was criticised last week for joking that Margaret Thatcher's mass closure of the coal mines in the 1980s was good for climate change.
The release of the new study findings comes less than three months before the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference, also known as Cop26, in Glasgow. Much of the conference will centre on delivering goals set out in the 2015 Paris Agreement, as well as moving the UN climate change process forward.
The summary of the IPCC report “will form a basis for negotiations at the global summit in November”, the Financial Times reports.
Kate Samuelson is The Week's former newsletter editor. She was also a regular guest on award-winning podcast The Week Unwrapped. Kate's career as a journalist began on the MailOnline graduate training scheme, which involved stints as a reporter at the South West News Service's office in Cambridge and the Liverpool Echo. She moved from MailOnline to Time magazine's satellite office in London, where she covered current affairs and culture for both the print mag and website. Before joining The Week, Kate worked at ActionAid UK, where she led the planning and delivery of all content gathering trips, from Bangladesh to Brazil. She is passionate about women's rights and using her skills as a journalist to highlight underrepresented communities. Alongside her staff roles, Kate has written for various magazines and newspapers including Stylist, Metro.co.uk, The Guardian and the i news site. She is also the founder and editor of Cheapskate London, an award-winning weekly newsletter that curates the best free events with the aim of making the capital more accessible.
-
Deportations ensnare migrant families, U.S. citizens
Feature Trump's deportation crackdown is sweeping up more than just immigrants as ICE targets citizens, judges and nursing mothers
-
Trump shrugs off warnings over trade war costs
Feature Trump's tariffs are spiraling the U.S. toward an economic crisis as shipments slow down—and China doesn't plan to back down
-
A newly created gasoline giant in the Americas could change the industry landscape
The Explainer Sunoco and Parkland are two of the biggest fuel suppliers in the US and Canada, respectively
-
The worst coral bleaching event breaks records
The Explainer Bleaching has now affected 84% of the world's coral reefs
-
Why UK scientists are trying to dim the Sun
In The Spotlight The UK has funded controversial geoengineering techniques that could prove helpful in slowing climate change
-
Electric ferries are becoming the next big environmental trend
Under the Radar From Hong Kong to Lake Tahoe, electric ferries are the new wave
-
Ukraine is experiencing an 'ecocide' and wants Russia to pay
Under the radar The environment is a silent victim of war
-
How wild horses are preventing wildfires in Spain
Under The Radar The animals roam more than 5,700 hectares of public forest, reducing the volume of combustible vegetation in the landscape
-
Scientists invent a solid carbon-negative building material
Under the radar Building CO2 into the buildings
-
Dozens of deep-sea creatures discovered after iceberg broke off Antarctica
Under the radar The cold never bothered them anyway
-
Earth's climate is in the era of 'global weirding'
The Explainer Weather is harder to predict and more extreme