A CBS News/New York Times poll released Monday night shows Hillary Clinton with a 4-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters in a four-way race, 45 percent to 41 percent, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson at 8 percent and Jill Stein of the Green Party at 3 percent. In a two-person race, Clinton beats Trump 49 percent to 43 percent. In the previous poll, Trump and Clinton were tied at 42 percent apiece.
The rise in Clinton's fortunes appears to be tied to her first presidential debate with Trump: 32 percent of likely voters who watched the debate said it made them think better of Clinton, versus 16 percent who thought worse; for Trump, 36 percent said it made them think worse of him, versus 10 percent who thought better. Enthusiasm among Clinton backers also rose 7 points after the debate, bringing her even with Trump supporters. Trump had an 11-point lead among male voters, while Clinton leads by 18 points among women; she also beats Trump among all age brackets except voters 65 and over, though she only leads Trump by 10 points among voters under the age of 30, 40 percent to 30 percent, with Johnson siphoning off 21 percent of the youngest voters.
Clinton's poll numbers have risen in a number of post-debate polls, including a CNN/ORC poll from Monday showing her with a 5-point lead. The CBS/NYT poll was conducted by phone Sept. 28 to Oct. 2 among 1,501 adults, including 1,217 registered voters, with a margin of error of ±4 percentage points among likely voters. You can learn more from CBS News elections director Anthony Salvanto in the video below. Peter Weber
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
-
Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale – a ‘comfort’ watch for fansThe Week Recommends The final film of the franchise gives viewers a chance to say goodbye
-
The Paper: new show, same 'warmth and goofiness'The Week Recommends This spin-off of the American version of The Office is ‘comfortingly and wearyingly familiar’
-
Rachel Jones: Gated Canyons – ‘riotously colourful’ works from an ‘exhilarating’ painterThe Week Recommends The 34-year-old is the first artist to take over Dulwich Picture Gallery’s main space
-
House posts lewd Epstein note attributed to TrumpSpeed Read The estate of Jeffrey Epstein turned over the infamous 2003 birthday note from President Donald Trump
-
Supreme Court allows 'roving' race-tied ICE raidsSpeed Read The court paused a federal judge's order barring agents from detaining suspected undocumented immigrants in LA based on race
-
South Korea to fetch workers detained in Georgia raidSpeed Read More than 300 South Korean workers detained in an immigration raid at a Hyundai plant will be released
-
DC sues Trump to end Guard 'occupation'Speed Read D.C. Attorney General Brian Schwalb argues that the unsolicited military presence violates the law
-
RFK Jr. faces bipartisan heat in Senate hearingSpeed Read The health secretary defended his leadership amid CDC turmoil and deflected questions about the restricted availability of vaccines
-
White House defends boat strike as legal doubts mountSpeed Read Experts say there was no legal justification for killing 11 alleged drug-traffickers
-
Epstein accusers urge full file release, hint at own listspeed read A rally was organized by Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie, who are hoping to force a vote on their Epstein Files Transparency Act
-
Court hands Harvard a win in Trump funding battleSpeed Read The Trump administration was ordered to restore Harvard's $2 billion in research grants
