A CBS News/New York Times poll released Monday night shows Hillary Clinton with a 4-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters in a four-way race, 45 percent to 41 percent, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson at 8 percent and Jill Stein of the Green Party at 3 percent. In a two-person race, Clinton beats Trump 49 percent to 43 percent. In the previous poll, Trump and Clinton were tied at 42 percent apiece.
The rise in Clinton's fortunes appears to be tied to her first presidential debate with Trump: 32 percent of likely voters who watched the debate said it made them think better of Clinton, versus 16 percent who thought worse; for Trump, 36 percent said it made them think worse of him, versus 10 percent who thought better. Enthusiasm among Clinton backers also rose 7 points after the debate, bringing her even with Trump supporters. Trump had an 11-point lead among male voters, while Clinton leads by 18 points among women; she also beats Trump among all age brackets except voters 65 and over, though she only leads Trump by 10 points among voters under the age of 30, 40 percent to 30 percent, with Johnson siphoning off 21 percent of the youngest voters.
Clinton's poll numbers have risen in a number of post-debate polls, including a CNN/ORC poll from Monday showing her with a 5-point lead. The CBS/NYT poll was conducted by phone Sept. 28 to Oct. 2 among 1,501 adults, including 1,217 registered voters, with a margin of error of ±4 percentage points among likely voters. You can learn more from CBS News elections director Anthony Salvanto in the video below. Peter Weber
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