New national poll confirms Hillary Clinton's rise after Donald Trump video leak, debate
Hillary Clinton has expanded her lead since Sunday's debate against Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released Tuesday. Clinton beats Trump by 8 percentage points among likely voters, 45 percent to 37 percent, up from a 5-point lead last week; 18 percent of voters said they would support neither Trump nor Clinton. Trump's lewd hot-mic recording leaked on Friday does not appear to have lowered Trump's already low poll numbers among women, but Clinton is now almost tied with him among evangelical Christians, a group Trump led by 12 points in July. In the new poll, 53 percent of debate watchers said Clinton won while 32 percent picked Trump. (The poll included 2,386 American adults and has a likely voter credibility interval of 3 percentage points.)
An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll before the debate but after the vulgar video found Clinton with an 11-point lead over Trump in a four-way race, but Trump clawed back 2 percentage points after the debate, losing 46 percent to 37 percent Oct. 8-10. Elections are decided by state electors, however, and Trump is running into problems in key swing states, as well as traditionally safe GOP states like Arizona and Utah — a poll of Utah conducted Monday and Tuesday by Y2 Analytics found Trump and Clinton tied in the Beehive State at 26 percent apiece, with third-party conservative Evan McMullin at 22 percent and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson at 14 percent.
The current polling is "a huge problem for Donald Trump," CNN's John King explained Tuesday night. "A lot of people actually think this means game over." Donald Trump's most committed supporters do not, The New York Times reports, but everyone else can watch King lay out Trump's daunting math below. Peter Weber
The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Peter has worked as a news and culture writer and editor at The Week since the site's launch in 2008. He covers politics, world affairs, religion and cultural currents. His journalism career began as a copy editor at a financial newswire and has included editorial positions at The New York Times Magazine, Facts on File, and Oregon State University.
-
10 concert tours to see this winterThe Week Recommends Keep cozy this winter with a series of concerts from big-name artists
-
What are portable mortgages and how do they work?the explainer Homeowners can transfer their old rates to a new property in the UK and Canada. The Trump administration is considering making it possible in the US.
-
What’s the best way to use your year-end bonus?the explainer Pay down debt, add it to an emergency fund or put it toward retirement
-
Judge halts Trump’s DC Guard deploymentSpeed Read The Trump administration has ‘infringed upon the District’s right to govern itself,’ the judge ruled
-
Trump accuses Democrats of sedition meriting ‘death’Speed Read The president called for Democratic lawmakers to be arrested for urging the military to refuse illegal orders
-
Court strikes down Texas GOP gerrymanderSpeed Read The Texas congressional map ordered by Trump is likely an illegal racial gerrymander, the court ruled
-
Trump defends Saudi prince, shrugs off Khashoggi murderSpeed Read The president rebuked an ABC News reporter for asking Mohammed bin Salman about the death of a Washington Post journalist at the Saudi Consulate in 2018
-
Congress passes bill to force release of Epstein filesSpeed Read The Justice Department will release all files from its Jeffrey Epstein sex-trafficking investigation
-
Trump says he will sell F-35 jets to Saudi ArabiaSpeed Read The president plans to make several deals with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman this week
-
Judge blasts ‘profound’ errors in Comey caseSpeed Read ‘Government misconduct’ may necessitate dismissing the charges against the former FBI director altogether
-
Ecuador rejects push to allow US military basesSpeed Read Voters rejected a repeal of a constitutional ban on US and other foreign military bases in the country
