With November creeping ever closer, the Democrats' chances of flipping the Senate are looking dimmer and dimmer. A "brutal" new poll by Axios/SurveyMonkey shows that the party is on track to lose three seats in the midterm elections: Republican Rick Scott has a 3-point lead on Sen. Bill Nelson (D) of Florida, Kevin Cramer has a 5-point lead on Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) of North Dakota, and Mike Braun has a 2-point lead on Sen. Joe Donnelly (D) of Indiana.
Democrats look likely to pick up two GOP seats, with Arizona Democrat Kyrsten Sinema out-polling all three Arizona Republican candidates and Nevada's Jacky Rosen out-polling Sen. Dean Heller (R) by 3 points. Republicans look assured to hold their seat in Tennessee, where Marsha Blackburn has a 14-point lead on Democrat Phil Bredesen.
Still, that won't be enough to put Democrats over the edge — they would need to hold all 10 seats in Trump-friendly states, plus pick up an extra two. "It's looking nearly impossible for Democrats to take back the Senate," Axios concludes.