The long, slow death of immigration reform
House Republicans seem intent on letting the bipartisan effort die
Even though the Republican National Committee’s autopsy report after the 2012 presidential election urged the party to repair its relationship with Hispanic voters, few in the rank-and-file are paying attention.
In fact, it seems they’re on their way to making the problems for their party worse.
Top Republicans on Capitol Hill tell Politico that the comprehensive immigration reform bill — which overwhelmingly passed the Senate last month — “will die a slow, months-long death in the House."
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Rick Klein sees the same dynamic forming: "As unfathomable as it seems that a bill supported by two-thirds of senators never comes up for a vote in the House, that's now clearly the path we're on."
The conventional wisdom suggested Republicans would pass immigration reform to improve their political position with Hispanics. But that ignored the important political reality that few House Republicans rely on Hispanic votes to win re-election.
House GOP leaders meet with their rank and file today but members acknowledge to Roll Call that "it's unlikely to produce a unified path forward."
We’re now at the point that immigration reform will not happen unless President Obama and Democrats can find new pressure points.
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First Read holds out hope that the legislation is not dead until it’s dead, and that House Republicans might not "budge until very late in the year when finally budging becomes their best card to play. But even immigration supporters have to admit that they probably didn’t think they’d be in the position of trying to make House Republicans have to budge late in the year."
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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political websites. He also runs Wonk Wire and the Political Dictionary. Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and COO of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. senator and governor. Goddard is also co-author of You Won — Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including The Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer, and Christian Science Monitor. Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
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