General Petraeus’s surge has failed in every respect

Baghdad’s militias have been strengthened – not weakened. Whoever wins tomorrow’s US presidential election will have to pick up the pieces

Whoever wins the US presidential election tomorrow will inherit not merely economic chaos, but the ongoing war in Iraq. While Barack Obama favours a timetabled withdrawal, John McCain parrots President Bush's claim that his 'surge' of troops to Iraq has restored security, and even suggests copying the strategy in Afghanistan. This would be a disaster because, in truth, the surge has failed in every respect.

The aims of the surge were to disarm sectarian militias, integrate Sunni forces into the predominantly Shia government, and buy time for Iraq's communities to agree on the distribution of oil revenues.

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is Rose Research Fellow in International Relations at Lady Margaret Hall, University of Oxford.