Issue of the week: Facebook’s 1 billion friends

Facebook reached a milestone with 1 billion active users, but it hasn’t been able to translate those users into giant profits.

“Facebook finally has something to brag about,” said Chris O’Brien in the San Jose Mercury News. Last week, the social network announced a remarkable milestone: 1 billion active users. Since its audience was just half that as recently as July 2010, and the entire world has only about 2.5 billion Internet users, that’s an impressive achievement. But CEO Mark Zuckerberg is still getting only about $1.28 in revenue per user, and hasn’t been able to translate those 1 billion friends into giant profits. So to capture the next billion users—and much-needed revenues—he’s pushing “a radical transformation” that will put mobile services at the heart of Facebook’s future.

Consider Wall Street skeptical at best, said Jon Friedman in MarketWatch.com. Of course, the shift to mobile makes perfect sense as phones become the dominant Internet medium around the world. But no matter how many users Zuckerberg boasts, his stock’s price is going to keep tanking until he can prove that his company “can monetize all of those loyalists.” Yet in that 1 billion figure, said Ryan Tate in Wired.com, “lies the fuel for a much sunnier future” for Facebook. The company is just beginning to launch new business lines based on its massive bank of user data, and it still has the potential to radically reinvent social advertising. If Facebook fully exploits that potential, “it could triple its current market valuation in five years.”

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