Could defaulting on the federal debt really be... no big deal?
Some Republicans argue that failing to raise the debt ceiling wouldn't be as catastrophic as many economists fear

The clock is ticking.... If Congress doesn't raise the $14.3 trillion limit on federal borrowing by early August, the U.S. will run out of money and default on some of its financial obligations. Both the Obama administration and many economists warn that failing to raise the debt ceiling by the deadline could be "catastrophic," but a growing number of Republicans are skeptical. "I don’t think it’s going to have an adverse impact on the economy for the days or weeks or perhaps even months that this would continue," says Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.). Other GOPers say a default could actually be beneficial, by forcing politicians to make difficult decisions. Are the GOP "default deniers" right?
The real catastrophe would be failing to corral spending: Defaulting on our debt due to a technicality wouldn't be "the end of the world," says billionaire money manager Stanley Druckenmiller, as quoted by The Wall Street Journal. If it takes a couple of extra days or weeks to prevent a future full-blown debt crisis like the one in Greece, the markets will understand. It's more important that we deal with "the real problem": Washington's out-of-control spending.
"What if the U.S. Treasury defaults?"
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
The GOP needs to "get sane": The Obama administration's position is backed by "pretty much every economist on both sides of the aisle," as well as "Wall Street and the business community," says Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway. Republicans will have to "swallow hard" and do the right thing by raising the debt ceiling before the deadline. "But I’m going to predict right now that it won’t happen until the absolutely last possible minute. Because, you know, that’s how we do things here."
"Will Republicans get sane on the debt ceiling?"
This battle will only hurt the Tea Party: House Speaker John Boehner may take this fight "down to the wire," says Kevin Drum at Mother Jones, under pressure from the Tea Partiers. But when the deadline comes, the "adults" in the GOP will vote to raise the debt ceiling, rather than commit political "suicide" by letting the U.S. default on its debts. Ultimately, "there's only so much idiocy that even Republicans can put up with," so the GOP establishment will "throw the Tea Partiers under the bus if it looks like they're seriously screwing things up."
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
Critics’ choice: Restaurants worthy of their buzz
feature A fun bistro, a reservation worth the wait, and a modern twist on Mexican dishes
By The Week US Published
-
Film reviews: Snow White, Death of a Unicorn, and The Alto Knights
Feature A makeover for Disney’s first animated feature, greedy humans earn nature’s wrath, and a feud between crime bosses rattles the mob
By The Week US Published
-
Bombs or talks: What’s next in the US-Iran showdown?
Talking Points US gives Tehran a two-month deadline to deal
By Joel Mathis, The Week US Published
-
The JFK files: the truth at last?
In The Spotlight More than 64,000 previously classified documents relating the 1963 assassination of John F. Kennedy have been released by the Trump administration
By The Week Staff Published
-
'Seriously, not literally': how should the world take Donald Trump?
Today's big question White House rhetoric and reality look likely to become increasingly blurred
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
Will Trump's 'madman' strategy pay off?
Today's Big Question Incoming US president likes to seem unpredictable but, this time round, world leaders could be wise to his playbook
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
Democrats vs. Republicans: who are the billionaires backing?
The Explainer Younger tech titans join 'boys' club throwing money and support' behind President Trump, while older plutocrats quietly rebuke new administration
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
US election: where things stand with one week to go
The Explainer Harris' lead in the polls has been narrowing in Trump's favour, but her campaign remains 'cautiously optimistic'
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Is Trump okay?
Today's Big Question Former president's mental fitness and alleged cognitive decline firmly back in the spotlight after 'bizarre' town hall event
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
The life and times of Kamala Harris
The Explainer The vice-president is narrowly leading the race to become the next US president. How did she get to where she is now?
By The Week UK Published
-
Will 'weirdly civil' VP debate move dial in US election?
Today's Big Question 'Diametrically opposed' candidates showed 'a lot of commonality' on some issues, but offered competing visions for America's future and democracy
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published