With John McCain now tied with or leading Barack Obama in a slate of weekend national polls, said Nate Silver in The New Republic’s The Plank blog, it’s safe to say “the GOP had a successful convention.” And McCain’s post-convention bounce will probably “get bigger before it gets smaller.” But we’re in unprecedented territory here, and this could either be a “dead cat bounce” for McCain or a sign of a “new equilibrium” in the race.
McCain’s dramatic bounce is “far more demoralizing” for Democrats than most post-convention bumps, said John Podhoretz in Commentary’s Contentions blog, because “the wild-card addition of Sarah Palin has mixed up everybody’s expectations.” Democrats don’t understand “the deep nature of her appeal,” so they don’t know how to react.
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