The most interesting candidate in the 2016 race is about to get very clichéd

If Rand Paul really wants to shake up politics, he should look to his own campaign first

Sen. Rand Paul announces his candidacy.
(Image credit: (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster))

It feels ungenerous to proclaim a presidential candidacy doomed just a day after it began, but it's awfully hard to see how Rand Paul, the second official candidate in the 2016 race, can become the Republican nominee. That doesn't mean he won't have a significant impact on the race, however, or that his candidacy won't help define the ongoing debate about the state of the GOP and what it needs to do to win back the White House. Rand Paul remains, in the word everyone uses, "interesting" — but interesting doesn't win you the nomination. And I suspect that the more we see of Paul, the less interesting he could become.

The Washington Post called Paul a "fresh-faced disrupter," but the first part of that description may be more accurate than the second. While he has been a relatively high-profile member of the Senate since he joined five years ago (you've seen him on TV a lot more than, say, John Boozman or Jim Risch), it's easy to forget that Paul has run for office exactly one time in his life. By the time they make their run for the White House, most politicians have gone through the rigor of at least a few campaigns (and most of the good ones suffered a crushing yet educational defeat, something that happened early in their careers to Barack Obama, George W. Bush, and Bill Clinton, among others).

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Paul Waldman

Paul Waldman is a senior writer with The American Prospect magazine and a blogger for The Washington Post. His writing has appeared in dozens of newspapers, magazines, and web sites, and he is the author or co-author of four books on media and politics.