The 2016 race could be a lot closer than you think

But before you panic, remember that it was always going to be this way

Clinton's relationship with the voting public is complicated.
(Image credit: REUTERS/Aaron P. Bernstein)

It's hard to find anyone right now who thinks Donald Trump is going to win in November. After all, he's — well, he's Donald Trump, for Pete's sake. So the more relevant question seems to be whether he'll drag the Republicans down so far that they'll lose the Senate and the House, too, or whether he'll destroy the Republican brand for a generation. But I have some scary news: This election could be a lot closer than you think.

Before you faint dead away, I'm not saying Trump is going to win. Unless there's some kind of catastrophic event like a plunge into recession or a terrorist attack that takes thousands of lives, it's extremely unlikely. But the race will probably stay unsettlingly close all the way to election day.

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