Trump's stamp on the Fed

For nearly four decades, chiefs of the U.S. central bank have all been reappointed to second four-year terms. Not this time.

President Trump and Jerome Powell.
(Image credit: REUTERS/Carlos Barria)

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President Trump "broke precedent" when he nominated Jerome Powell last week to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve, said Ana Swanson and Binyamin Appelbaum at The New York Times. For nearly four decades, chiefs of the U.S. central bank have all been reappointed to second four-year terms, even by presidents of the opposite party. But after weeks of deliberation, Trump bypassed current Chair Janet Yellen, who was nominated by President Obama in 2013, in favor of Powell, a centrist Republican with ties to the party's establishment. "A lawyer by training and investment banker by trade," Powell has served since 2012 on the Fed Board of Governors, where he has "consistently voted with Yellen to slowly raise interest rates and sell off assets that the Fed bought up" after the financial crisis. "Trump infused the search with suspense and showmanship seldom seen in the normally staid business of picking a central bank leader," said Peter Nicholas at The Wall Street Journal. He teased the announcement in an Instagram video and cast a wide net for advice, consulting a TV personality, a casino magnate, and GOP lawmakers. His economic adviser Gary Cohn was briefly considered for the job, while Vice President Mike Pence lobbied for conservative economist John Taylor. Cohn himself made a last-minute case for Yellen. But Trump ultimately settled on the "conventional" Powell.

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Powell is a "sane and sober" choice who signals at least "short-term continuity" in Fed policy, said Kenneth Rogoff at The Guardian. He understands the Fed's myriad challenges in trying to head off the next recession, but he's also expected to be more open to rolling back financial regulations adopted since the financial crisis. His biggest test may simply be "staying out of Trump's shadow" and protecting the Fed's independence from a president "seemingly intent on challenging all institutional norms." In a presidency that has been marked by personal attacks and rude tweets, "relations between the White House and the Fed have been remarkably calm and monotonous," said Robert Samuelson at The Washington Post. Can that last? The day will come when the unemployment rate rises and the stock market falls. If Trump directs his ire at his new central banker, "the Powell Fed may be less boring than we now imagine."