The hopeless, changeless election

If the polls are right, the status quo will still reign after Tuesday

A voter.
(Image credit: Illustrated | Dezigner...S.E.S.F/iStock, Educester/iStock, vectorplusb/iStock)

Millions of Americans have already voted in the 2018 election. Millions more will vote Tuesday in what members of both parties consider a referendum on President Trump. Turnout will be much higher than for the 2014 midterms and, possibly, higher than for any midterm election since 1914.

For Democrats the reasons for showing up are obvious. For Republicans they are less obvious. But I think both sides will be ultimately disappointed by the results. Barring some kind of astonishing upset — a real one, not the candidate who actually campaigned in Michigan and Wisconsin somehow winning those states, like in 2016 — Republicans are likely to pick up a few more seats in the Senate while losing control of the House. Put like that, it sounds like a victory for Democrats. I am not so sure.

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Matthew Walther

Matthew Walther is a national correspondent at The Week. His work has also appeared in First Things, The Spectator of London, The Catholic Herald, National Review, and other publications. He is currently writing a biography of the Rev. Montague Summers. He is also a Robert Novak Journalism Fellow.