EU referendum: What happens if it's a dead heat?
Maybe someone should have thought of this sooner…

For weeks, reporters have been saying the EU referendum race is too close to call. Polls have swung back and forth, but the rolling average has put the two sides neck and neck.
And a recent analysis of polling data and turnout figures by the Press Association found that the result could be very close indeed. "The EU referendum could end as a dead heat between Remain and Leave," says ITV News, "if the difference in turnout between young and old voters mirrors the 2015 general election."
So what happens if the outcome is a true dead heat, with the national count evenly split between the two sides?
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
The answer, it seems, is that nobody knows.
"We asked a range of people who we thought might know," says the Daily Telegraph. "The electoral commission, the Commons, the Home Office, the Cabinet Office, and even the Foreign Office - but none were able to give us much of a steer."
A very close result is likely to result in legal action, says The Conversation, and it's likely to focus on overseas postal votes. At the 2015 general election, "some never arrived, or arrived late, meaning that many overseas voters' ballot papers were either lost or not counted".
In general elections, a dead heat at the national level is solved by coalition negotiations, and at a constituency level by the toss of a coin, with the winner becoming an MP. But the former method doesn't apply in an in-out referendum, and the latter has not been written in to the legislation for today's vote.
In the extremely unlike result of a mathematical tie, it seems likely that Parliament would decide the matter – not least because the referendum is not, in fact, legally binding.
"It's an advisory referendum," a government spokesman told the Telegraph, "so Parliament is likely to advise but it's a matter for the Government."
If the outcome is clear, Parliament is unlikely to overrule the public will, but in the event of a dead heat, it might express the preference of the overwhelming majority of MPs – to remain.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
Make mine a soju and tonic: the rise of Korea's favourite spirit
The Week Recommends The rice-based drink can replace gin or vodka in traditional cocktails for a refreshing twist on the classics
-
The full moon calendar for every month
In depth When to see the lunar phenomenon every month
-
The end of WeightWatchers
Talking Point The diet brand has filed for bankruptcy in the US as it struggles to survive in era of weight-loss jabs
-
Has Starmer put Britain back on the world stage?
Talking Point UK takes leading role in Europe on Ukraine and Starmer praised as credible 'bridge' with the US under Trump
-
Left on read: Labour's WhatsApp dilemma
Talking Point Andrew Gwynne has been sacked as health minister over messages posted in a Labour WhatsApp group
-
New Year's Honours: why the controversy?
Today's Big Question London Mayor Sadiq Khan and England men's football manager Gareth Southgate have both received a knighthood despite debatable records
-
Will Starmer's Brexit reset work?
Today's Big Question PM will have to tread a fine line to keep Leavers on side as leaks suggest EU's 'tough red lines' in trade talks next year
-
John Prescott: was he Labour's last link to the working class?
Today's Big Quesiton 'A total one-off': tributes have poured in for the former deputy PM and trade unionist
-
Last hopes for justice for UK's nuclear test veterans
Under the Radar Thousands of ex-service personnel say their lives have been blighted by aggressive cancers and genetic mutations
-
Will Donald Trump wreck the Brexit deal?
Today's Big Question President-elect's victory could help UK's reset with the EU, but a free-trade agreement with the US to dodge his threatened tariffs could hinder it
-
What is the next Tory leader up against?
Today's Big Question Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick will have to unify warring factions and win back disillusioned voters – without alienating the centre ground