Midterm elections 2018: why they are important for the world
Potential shake-up of Congress halfway through Donald Trump’s presidency could reduce his powers

The US midterms are underway after the country’s political heavyweights made their final pushes in the campaign.
Donald Trump and Barack Obama took to the stump on Sunday, with the current president setting out “his now familiar dystopia of an America overrun with criminal aliens and radical socialists”, says The Guardian.
Obama also took on the dystopian theme but laid the blame at the door of his successor who he said had “no qualms about lying or about playing to people’s fears”.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Today US voters “face a choice that could shape the nation for years after a campaign that left it politically torn, at war with itself over race, and mourning tragedy”, says CNN.
A Democratic victory in either the House of Representatives or the Senate would give the party the power to open investigations into various aspects of Trump's administration, the Financial Times reports.
What are the midterms?
The November elections will see 35 of the 100 seats in the US Senate up for grabs.
US voters will also choose all 435 members of the US House of Representatives, the lower chamber of Congress.
Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to take control of the House of Representatives from the Republicans. And they need a net gain of two seats to take a Senate majority, “although the path to get to that number is difficult”, says CNN.
Of the 35 Senate seats up for election this year, 26 are held by Democrats (including two independents allied to them) and nine by Republicans.
In total, the US Senate is made up of 51 Republican seats and 47 Democrats, plus those two independents. This means Democrats face a steeper climb in the Senate, because they must defend all 26 of their seats up for election and take two seats from Republicans in order to win a majority. Ten of the Democratic seats are in states that Trump won in the 2016 presidential election.
Why are these elections so important in the US?
The midterm elections are being held halfway through Trump’s presidential term, and the make-up of Congress’s two chambers could affect his ability to govern.
The state legislative elections will not only be crucial for state-level policy debates but “could also determine the fate of abortion rights if the Supreme Court moves to undercut Roe v. Wade, the future of Medicaid expansion in some states, not to mention innumerable other issues like education, taxes, and labor rights”, says Vox.
The outcome of the midterms could reduce Trump’s powers or might work in his favour. Thanks to a very favourable election map, Republicans “could conceivably pick up Senate seats even if Democrats take the House. And a gain of even a seat or two would change the entire complexion of the Senate,” says Politico.
Should that occur, Republicans “might even have another shot at repealing Obamacare or shrinking the size of the federal government”, adds the news site.
What about the rest of the world?
The midterms are not usually seen as a global event, “but this time is different”, says the Financial Times. The results will be seen as a crucial test of whether Trump has changed the US forever.
If the Republicans do well, the world will have to make a “long-term adjustment to an America that is highly protectionist and suspicious of treaties on principle — whether they deal with climate change, arms control, refugees or migration”, says the FT; however, if the Democrats succeed there will be hope that the Trump years are just an “aberration”.
Countries such as Iran, China, Mexico and North Korea are likely to be “glued to the results”, looking for hints about the “staying power” of Trump’s foreign policies, be it sanctions against Tehran or nuclear talks with Pyongyang, says USA Today.
“Some foreign leaders are quietly rooting for Democratic gains in Congress, hoping the opposition party will counter the Trump administration’s attacks on international agreements, his crackdown on immigration and his penchant for trade tariffs,” adds the newspaper.
The midterms will also be watched closely as a gauge for the global populist and nationalist movements. The populist swing pre-dates Trump’s election, notes CNBC, but it has picked up momentum as he appears to have inspired like-minded politicians abroad.
“The vote isn’t just a referendum on President Trump’s first two years in office,” says the news channel, “but also on the populist brand of politics he represents.”
What is likely to happen?
Final outcomes are difficult to predict, especially as early voting suggests turnout could be the highest it’s been in decades.
Some forecasters are predicting that turnout could end up approaching 50%, “levels not reached since the midterms between 1962-1970 - years, perhaps not coincidentally, that spanned a political turbulent era”, the Associated Press reports.
At present, New York Magazine says, “odds are good if not overwhelming that Democrats will regain control of the House and make significant state governor and state legislative gains, while Republicans will maintain control of the Senate (possibly even increasing their margin over Democrats there)”.
But the latest polls suggest that “neither Democrats nor Republicans have much reason to breathe easy”, says Vox.
The non-partisan Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman calls the House landscape “fairly stable”, with Democrats “poised to gain between 25 and 40 seats” (they need a net gain of 23 for control).
But The New York Times’s Nate Cohn believes the race for the House of Representatives remains on a knife edge.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
-
Today's political cartoons - March 29, 2025
Cartoons Saturday's cartoons - my way or Norway, running orders, and more
By The Week US Published
-
5 tactically sound cartoons about the leaked Signal chat
Cartoons Artists take on the clown signal, baby steps, and more
By The Week US Published
-
Roast lamb shoulder with ginger and fresh turmeric recipe
The Week Recommends Succulent and tender and falls off the bone with ease
By The Week UK Published
-
Why does Donald Trump want Greenland?
The Explainer Trump is not the only US president who has tried to gain control of Greenland
By The Week UK Published
-
What dangers does the leaked Signal chat expose the US to?
TODAY'S BIG QUESTION The White House's ballooning group chat scandal offered a masterclass in what not to say when prying eyes might be watching
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Trump sets 25% tariffs on auto imports
Speed Read The White House says the move will increase domestic manufacturing. But the steep import taxes could also harm the US auto industry.
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
'Even authoritarian regimes need a measure of public support — the consent of at least some of the governed'
instant opinion 'Opinion, comment and editorials of the day'
By Anya Jaremko-Greenwold, The Week US Published
-
Waltz takes blame for texts amid calls for Hegseth ouster
Speed Read Democrats are calling for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and national security adviser Michael Waltz to step down
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
USPS Postmaster General DeJoy steps down
Speed Read Louis DeJoy faced ongoing pressure from the Trump administration as they continue to seek power over the postal system
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Judge: Nazis treated better than Trump deportees
speed read U.S. District Judge James Boasberg reaffirmed his order barring President Donald Trump from deporting alleged Venezuelan gang members
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
'There is a certain kind of strength in refusing to concede error'
instant opinion 'Opinion, comment and editorials of the day'
By Anya Jaremko-Greenwold, The Week US Published