Tories take poll lead - but will it keep them in power?

Tories look more like emerging the largest party but without Lib Dem numbers to keep Cameron at No 10

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The Tories lead in three out of four new voting intention polls. Most spectacular is the Ashcroft national poll, which gives them six points over Labour (36 to 30 per cent). This is close to what they achieved at the last general election and will help Tory campaign chief Lynton Crosby face down the more panicky members of the Conservative Party.

The Tories lead by three in the Guardian/ICM poll and by one in the YouGov poll for The Sun (details at foot of article).

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is a former BBC lobby correspondent and Labour press officer who is watching the polls for The Week in the run-up to the 2015 election.