Playing the long game: will the Glazers sell Manchester United?

Supporters’ pain ‘might go on for some time yet’, but win over Liverpool has lifted spirits

United fans protest against the Glazers’ stewardship
United fans protest against the Glazers’ stewardship
(Image credit: Andy Barton/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

“As the old football saying goes, it’s the hope that kills you,” said Gearoid Reidy on Bloomberg. Last week, fans of Manchester United, the once-invincible football club, were briefly buoyed by news that Elon Musk was considering a takeover bid. It soon emerged that the world’s richest man – a United fan since boyhood – was kidding, said Liam Proud on Breakingviews. But there is “serious money” to be made for a buyer focused on growth rather than extracting cash.

The inept current owners, the Florida-based Glazer family, have “saddled Man Utd with debt and taken cash out of the club”, with debt-servicing and dividend payments totalling $140m over the past three years, said Proud. But imagine that a “financially motivated buyer” paid a 30% premium to the current value, or $3.2bn including net debt. Assume they ran the club on a “break-even basis with the same 5% revenue growth that Man City achieved between 2017 and 2021”. The upshot? “Man Utd would be worth $6.7bn after five years”, using the seven-times revenue multiple that City’s valuation is based on. Result!

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