The White House looks for an endgame against the Houthis
The Yemeni group is still attacking Red Sea shipping. What will Biden do next?
The war against the Houthis is just getting started.
American attacks against the Yemen-based group continued this week, The New York Times reported, a sign that President Joe Biden intends to wage an "open-ended campaign against the Iran-backed group that has disrupted traffic in vital international sea lanes." The Washington Post reported that the campaign has raised concerns that the United States is embroiling itself in yet "another unpredictable Middle Eastern conflict."
Those concerns probably weren't quieted by Biden's frank admission last week that the strikes aren't really achieving their intended goal. "When you say 'working,' are they stopping the Houthis? No," he told a White House reporter. "Are they going to continue? Yes." Indeed, CNN noted, the Houthis "have kept firing missiles and drones at ships in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden." That means shipping through the Red Sea remains severely disrupted.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
"The U.S. has no endgame in Yemen," Gregory Brew argued at Time. It's understandable that the U.S. responded to Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping with attacks of its own. The problem? "The group appears emboldened." A ceasefire in Gaza — ostensibly the goal of the Houthi attacks — might help the situation. But in the meantime, America is "fighting an enemy that can't be deterred, with capabilities that will be nearly impossible to fully degrade, on a timeline with no clear endpoint."
'Lack of strategic clarity'
That leads to "the obvious question: what will stop the Houthis?" Alex Ward asked at Politico. The thinking inside the White House is that military action alone won't halt the attacks on shipping. Instead, it will require a combination of approaches "over weeks — maybe months," and almost certainly involve a slowdown in the Israel-Hamas war. The U.S. can't go it alone: Other countries "with an interest in open sea lanes — China, for example" will have to demand an end to the disruptions. Will that happen? Experts aren't sure. "There's no denying the lack of strategic clarity right now," said one observer.
"The Houthis still have the strategic initiative," The Washington Examiner editorialized. Perhaps the answer is actually to expand U.S. attacks. "Biden must authorize broader and more aggressive strikes against the Houthis" to include targets like the group's command center in the Yemeni capital of Sana'a. Rather than limited airstrikes, the Houthis should be met "with sustained offensive action that will eliminate its military power."
But a more extensive campaign against the Houthis "could trigger even larger Houthi and Iranian reprisals against commercial shipping," Michael Dimino argued at Defense Priorities. A diplomatic approach — one that includes not just the Houthis, but real efforts to address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza — might serve U.S. interests better. Military action probably won't do the trick. "Houthi strategic intentions are unlikely to change in the aftermath of ongoing U.S. strikes, and the group has shown no signs it's going away."
'Checkmate?'
Shipping through the region has fallen off dramatically, and hasn't picked up since the U.S. began targeting the Houthis. That's "a fascinating indicator of how disconnected US grand strategy has become from its original rationales," The Stimson Center's Emma Ashford suggested on X. Murtaza Hussain was more blunt at The Intercept: "The Houthis may have checkmated Biden" in the Red Sea. Escalating the strikes could "risk a full-blown regional war."
A contingent in Congress, meanwhile, is questioning Biden's authority to continue the attacks without approval from the legislative branch. Defense News reported that Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) sent a letter to Biden this week warning that the president must get permission to wage war. "This has gone beyond a one-off self-defense," he said. "As soon as it's a prediction of a back-and-forth, it's going to escalate more. This needs Congress now."
For now, though, Reuters reported that Biden's goal in Yemen is to "weaken, not destroy" the Houthis. But the voices of skepticism are growing. "I think the strategy is sustainable," said Seth Jones at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. "I just don't think it's going to work."
Create an account with the same email registered to your subscription to unlock access.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Joel Mathis is a freelance writer who has spent nine years as a syndicated columnist, co-writing the RedBlueAmerica column as the liberal half of a point-counterpoint duo. His work also regularly appears in National Geographic, The Kansas City Star and Heatmap News. His awards include best online commentary at the Online News Association and (twice) at the City and Regional Magazine Association.
-
Arizona grand jury indicts 18 in Trump fake elector plot
Speed Read The state charged Mark Meadows, Rudy Giuliani and other Trump allies in 2020 election interference case
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Antony Gormley's Time Horizon – a 'judgmental army' of 100 cast-iron men
The Week Recommends Sculptures are 'everymen questioning the privilege of their surroundings' at the Norfolk stately home
By Adrienne Wyper, The Week UK Published
-
'King's horses take free rein through London'
Today's Newspapers A roundup of the headlines from the US front pages
By The Week Staff Published
-
'Voters know Biden and Trump all too well'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published
-
Is the Gaza war tearing US university campuses apart?
Today's Big Question Protests at Columbia University, other institutions, pit free speech against student safety
By Joel Mathis, The Week US Published
-
Who will win the 2024 presidential election?
In Depth Election year is here. Who are pollsters and experts predicting to win the White House?
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
'Make legal immigration a more plausible option'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published
-
Israel's military intelligence chief resigns
Speed Read Maj. Gen. Aharon Haliva is the first leader to quit for failing to prevent the Hamas attack in October
By Justin Klawans, The Week US Published
-
'Elevating Earth Day into a national holiday is not radical — it's practical'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published
-
'Republicans want to silence Israel's opponents'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published
-
'A speaker courageous enough to stand up to the extremists in his own party'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published