Iran's allies in the Middle East and around the world

Tehran left high and dry by regional proxies and authoritarian global allies

Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Iran's principal strategy under Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been to use the likes of Hezbollah as its first line of defence
(Image credit: Morteza Nikoubazl / NurPhoto via Getty Images)

A defiant Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Iran had "delivered a slap to America's face" and claimed "victory" over Israel in his first public remarks about the bombing campaign against his country.

But as he looks to rebuild his shattered authority at home, he might also be asking why Iran's powerful international allies and regional proxies failed to come to its aid.

The Islamic Republic had hoped to call on the so-called "Axis of Resistance", made up of political and militant groups in the Middle East. Iran was also banking on the so-called "Crink" group of authoritarian nation states that includes China, Russia and North Korea for support. But with starkly different ideologies and competing strategic objectives, this coalition is better understood as a "marriage of convenience" – and also "desperation", said The Washington Post.

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Russia

Iran and Russia have continued to "deepen" military and economic ties in recent years, said the House of Commons Library.

Tehran has long been suspected by Western allies of supplying Russia with weapons for use in Ukraine and in January the two countries signed a new strategic partnership treaty. While this committed them to "joint exercises and to exchange information", it "did not include a mutual defence clause". But Russian reliance on Iran "reached its zenith one year into the war, and has since been eclipsed by China and North Korea", said the Financial Times.

Moscow condemned Israel's strike on Iran as "unprovoked aggression" but in truth has, of late, "been cosplaying as an ally of Iran", said Owen Matthews in The Spectator. It still pays lip-service to Tehran but the "alliance of convenience is, in the Kremlin's eyes, very much secondary to Russia's more important role as a global power player that can stand alongside the US and China as an arbiter of world affairs".

China

China is a "key diplomatic and economic backer" of Iran, and "has moved to further deepen collaboration in recent years, including holding joint naval drills", said CNN. It continues to be the largest purchaser of US-sanctioned Iranian oil, and in 2023 Tehran joined the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, deepening economic ties between the two countries.

Beijing has promised to deliver material critical for ballistic missile production, as President Xi Jinping tries to "insert himself as an influential player in allowing Tehran to rebuild its own arsenal and arm its various disabled proxies", said Devon Cross, a former defence adviser to the US government, in The Times.

But like Russia, China is playing a much bigger game. While it explicitly condemned Israel's "violation of Iran's sovereignty, security and territorial integrity", Beijing has "appeared unwilling to become further entangled in the conflict past its diplomatic efforts". Instead, it is "using the situation as another opportunity to paint itself as a responsible global player and the US as a force for instability", said CNN.

North Korea

There should, on the surface at least, be little that unites the Islamic Republic and the secretive Stalinist state, but political necessity and their status as international pariahs has dictated a certain level of cooperation and alignment.

There has long been speculation that North Korea has helped with Iran's nuclear programme. In terms of its own capability, Pyongyang has "defied all international sanctions to build up a formidable arsenal of nuclear warheads and intercontinental ballistic missiles, enough to make any potential attacker think twice", said Frank Gardner on the BBC.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un "could even try to smuggle one of his nuclear warheads – via Russia – to Iran", said the Daily Express.

Iran's proxies

Iran has invested heavily in a network of proxy allies across the Middle East, including Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen and the Islamic Resistance in Iraq. It supported the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad until he was toppled last year.

But the so-called "Axis of Resistance" has been greatly "diminished" by over two years of Israeli operations, , said Le Monde, remained relatively silent as its patron faced the full force of Israeli and US air strikes.

Tehran's strategy has long been to use its proxies – chief among them Hezbollah – as its first line of defence in the event of a war with Israel. "The significant weakening of several members of the axis has changed the equation for Iran and limited its options" as the past few weeks have shown.