Clinton leads Trump by 11 points in one poll, is statistically tied in another

(Image credit: Saul Loeb/Getty Images)

last updated 16 October 2016

Two new polls released Sunday morning paint very different pictures of the presidential race. In a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 11 points among likely voters, a commanding advantage so close to Election Day and one significantly influenced by Trump's sexual misconduct scandal, which nearly two in three voters said was cause for concern.

By contrast, a Washington Post/ABC News poll also published Sunday saw Clinton leading Trump by just 4 percent, also among likely voters, a difference within the survey's margin of error and therefore a statistical tie. The Real Clear Politics average, which includes both polls and other recent surveys, has Clinton leading by 5.5 percent.

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Bonnie Kristian was a deputy editor and acting editor-in-chief of TheWeek.com. She is a columnist at Christianity Today and author of Untrustworthy: The Knowledge Crisis Breaking Our Brains, Polluting Our Politics, and Corrupting Christian Community (forthcoming 2022) and A Flexible Faith: Rethinking What It Means to Follow Jesus Today (2018). Her writing has also appeared at Time Magazine, CNN, USA Today, Newsweek, the Los Angeles Times, and The American Conservative, among other outlets.