What's fueling Trump's debate dilemma?

With the first debate of the 2024 GOP primary looming, the current frontrunner seems entirely uninterested

Donald Trump silhouette at rostrum
(Image credit: Illustrated / Getty Images / Shutterstock)

Donald Trump is hardly what most critics would call a masterful debater — at least, not in the classical sense. He eschews specific answers for blunt oration, favoring bombast and aggression over discourse and detail. As a candidate in the 2016 presidential election, Trump's ability to turn each debate into a spectacle of insults and sound bytes — a "mega debate" per the Washington Post — helped him winnow his way through a shrinking roster of rivals with each successive event. It would be inaccurate to say that Trump won his party's nomination on the strength of his debate performances alone, but it's hard to imagine a world in which he had taken the stage at the Republican National Convention without them.

Nearly eight years later the GOP again stands at the cusp of a debate cycle seemingly tailor-made for Trump's particular campaign style. Once again the Republican field is overcrowded with a mix of career politicians, rising conservative stars, and "outsider" dark horses, none of whom have landed on an effective antidote to Trump's diluvial approach to politics. Unlike 2016, however, Trump himself is no longer an unknown quantity, confounding expectations as he burns a path from the bottom up through his ostensibly more qualified rivals. This time around, Trump sits comfortably atop a GOP field fundamentally defined by a party that has reshaped itself in his own image. And now with the first scheduled Republican primary debate just days away, the party's leading candidate has signaled that he won't join the competition on stage in Milwaukee at the end of the month.

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Rafi Schwartz, The Week US

Rafi Schwartz has worked as a politics writer at The Week since 2022, where he covers elections, Congress and the White House. He was previously a contributing writer with Mic focusing largely on politics, a senior writer with Splinter News, a staff writer for Fusion's news lab, and the managing editor of Heeb Magazine, a Jewish life and culture publication. Rafi's work has appeared in Rolling Stone, GOOD and The Forward, among others.