Ukraine solution: West should back off and support partition

If we are happy to let Scotland go (depending on the referendum), we should let Ukraine split too

Crispin Black

RUSSIA has re-annexed Crimea and despite the diplomatic bluster of William Hague and John Kerry there is nothing we can do about it. More than that, there is nothing we in the West should do about it.

Never assume that your opponent thinks in the same way that you do – it’s a cardinal rule of intelligence analysis. He will have different priorities and cultural assumptions. If you are keen to work out what he is going to do next you have somehow to get inside his skin. We have signally failed to do that with President Putin – routinely portrayed as some kind of ex-KGB monster in the British media.

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is a former Welsh Guards lieutenant colonel and intelligence analyst for the British government's Joint Intelligence Committee. His book, 7-7: What Went Wrong, was one of the first to be published after the London bombings in July 2005.