Down to the wire: 4 Senate races to watch
As Election Day looms, these too-close-to-call contests will determine which party controls the Senate for the next two years
In the lead-up to November 2, Senate Democrats don't have nearly as much to worry about as their counterparts in the House. Alhough there remains a small chance that Republicans could gain control of the upper chamber, the party would need just about everything to go their way on election night. Here are four tight races that Republicans will certainly need to carry in order to have a chance of taking the Senate:
1. Illinois — Giannoulias vs. Kirk
The battle for Barack Obama's former Senate seat has been "one of the nastiest and most bitterly fought races around" for months, says The New York Times. GOP candidate Mark Kirk has led narrowly all the latest polls, and statistical wunderkind Nate Silver gives him a 66.7 chance of winning — with the caveat that "the number of undecided voters in Illinois remains high." Democrat Alexi Giannoulias is counting on personal testimonials from the Obamas to help nudge him over the top on Tuesday.
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
2. Colorado — Buck vs. Bennet
In this extremely close contest, money from outside groups is pouring in for both Republican Ken Buck and Democrat Michael Bennet — with the total nearing $25 million. Buck has been ahead or tied in all recent polls, but, as Eric Lach at Talking Points Memo notes, "four separate pollsters have all shown [his] lead shrinking." Buck's cause probably has not been helpled by recent comments he made equating gay people to alcoholics, but Bennet has his own issues: As RealClearPolitics notes, he "suffers from a lack of charisma."
3. Nevada — Reid vs. Angle
Recent polls show Republican Sharron Angle with a consistent 4-point lead over Harry Reid, the Senate Majority Leader, and Nate Silver gives her a better than three-in-four chance of winning. The race is seen as "a referendum on Reid and Obama," says political analyst Larry Sabato, and that fact is not encouraging for Reid — he and his boss are both distinctly unpopular in Nevada.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
4. Alaska — Miller vs. Murkowski vs. McAdams
In perhaps the oddest, least predictable race in the country, incumbent Lisa Murkowski is hoping to win as a write-in candidate after losing the Republican primary to Sarah Palin-endorsed Joe Miller. Alaskan polls are notoriously unreliable, though most show the race coming down to the wire, thanks in part to a wariness among voters — even Republicans — of the "disturbing level of secrecy" surrounding his campaign. Democrat Scott McAdams — still a distinct underdog — has managed to "double his support" in the past month.
Sources: Chicago Sun-Times, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Talking Points Memo, FiveThirtyEight, Las Vegas Review Journal, Mother Jones, Politico, Fox News
Create an account with the same email registered to your subscription to unlock access.
-
'Republicans want to silence Israel's opponents'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published
-
Poland, Germany nab alleged anti-Ukraine spies
Speed Read A man was arrested over a supposed Russian plot to kill Ukrainian President Zelenskyy
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Today's political cartoons - April 19, 2024
Cartoons Friday's cartoons - priority delivery, USPS on fire, and more
By The Week US Published
-
Arizona court reinstates 1864 abortion ban
Speed Read The law makes all abortions illegal in the state except to save the mother's life
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Trump, billions richer, is selling Bibles
Speed Read The former president is hawking a $60 "God Bless the USA Bible"
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
The debate about Biden's age and mental fitness
In Depth Some critics argue Biden is too old to run again. Does the argument have merit?
By Grayson Quay Published
-
How would a second Trump presidency affect Britain?
Today's Big Question Re-election of Republican frontrunner could threaten UK security, warns former head of secret service
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
'Rwanda plan is less a deterrent and more a bluff'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By The Week UK Published
-
Henry Kissinger dies aged 100: a complicated legacy?
Talking Point Top US diplomat and Nobel Peace Prize winner remembered as both foreign policy genius and war criminal
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Last updated
-
Trump’s rhetoric: a shift to 'straight-up Nazi talk'
Why everyone's talking about Would-be president's sinister language is backed by an incendiary policy agenda, say commentators
By The Week UK Published
-
More covfefe: is the world ready for a second Donald Trump presidency?
Today's Big Question Republican's re-election would be a 'nightmare' scenario for Europe, Ukraine and the West
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published