Nate Silver puts Clinton's odds of beating Trump at almost 80 percent

Statistician Nate Silver
(Image credit: Slaven Vlasic/Getty Images for AWXII)

Despite the nail-biting polls, statistician Nate Silver predicted Wednesday that Hillary Clinton has a whopping 79 percent chance of winning a general election against Donald Trump. Silver correctly predicted the results of 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and correctly guessed the results of every single state in 2012. Still, Silver predicted that Trump had a mere 2 percent chance of winning the GOP nomination last August.

But Silver asserted himself on Good Morning America, claiming that his 2 percent estimate wasn't based on looking at the polls. "One big lesson of [Trump's] campaign is, don't try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public," Silver warned. He added that states like Arizona, Georgia, Missouri, and North Carolina — all of which are usually red — could be toss-ups in this "crazy year."

Subscribe to The Week

Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

SUBSCRIBE & SAVE
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/jacafc5zvs1692883516.jpg

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

Sign up
Explore More
Jeva Lange

Jeva Lange was the executive editor at TheWeek.com. She formerly served as The Week's deputy editor and culture critic. She is also a contributor to Screen Slate, and her writing has appeared in The New York Daily News, The Awl, Vice, and Gothamist, among other publications. Jeva lives in New York City. Follow her on Twitter.